Football · Scotland Premier League Women · 18/10, 17:10
Prediction: Hearts (W) vs Partick Thistle (W)
Team pages: Hearts (W) · Partick Thistle (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.89Total
Hearts (W)2.95
Partick Thistle (W)0.95
1X2
Hearts (W)
Draw
Partick Thistle (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-0 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Hearts (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Partick Thistle (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hearts (W)
5–1–0
Partick Thistle (W)
(6 last)
- Hearts (W)3-0Partick Thistle (W)
- Partick Thistle (W)1-4Hearts (W)
- Hearts (W)4-0Partick Thistle (W)
- Partick Thistle (W)0-5Hearts (W)
- Hearts (W)1-1Partick Thistle (W)
- Partick Thistle (W)0-3Hearts (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hearts (W) 1575 · Partick Thistle (W) 1424
| Hearts (W) | Draw | Partick Thistle (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 14% | 8% |
| Market | 92% | 6% | 3% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.89 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hearts (W) (rating 1575 vs 1424).
- H2H favours Hearts (W): 5-1-0.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hearts (W) | Partick Thistle (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1 | 1.3 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.9 | 2.7 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0.1 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hearts (W) 5–1–0 Partick Thistle (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/04/26 Scotland Premier League Women | Hearts (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Partick Thistle (W) |
| 18/03/26 Scotland Premier League Women | Partick Thistle (W) | 1-4 HT 0-2 | Hearts (W) |
| 25/01/26 Scotland Premier League Women | Hearts (W) | 4-0 HT 0-0 | Partick Thistle (W) |
| 28/09/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Partick Thistle (W) | 0-5 HT 0-0 | Hearts (W) |
| 09/02/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Hearts (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Partick Thistle (W) |
| 06/10/24 Scotland Premier League Women | Partick Thistle (W) | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Hearts (W) |
Standings · Scotland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers (W) | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 4 | 21 |
| 2 | Celtic (W) | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Hearts (W) | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Glasgow City (W) | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 |
| 5 | Hibernian (W) | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 |
| 6 | Partick Thistle (W) | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 7 |
| 7 | Spartans (W) | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 7 |
| 8 | Motherwell (W) | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 6 |
| 9 | Aberdeen (W) | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 | Montrose LFC (W) | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 29 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hearts (W) | Partick Thistle (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Hibernian (W) | 3-2 W | 1-3 L |
| Glasgow City (W) | 2-2 D | 1-4 L |
| Spartans (W) | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Montrose LFC (W) | 7-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Rangers (W) | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Aberdeen (W) | 6-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Celtic (W) | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Hearts (W) (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hearts (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 27/09 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 20/09 | Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 7-0 | 14 | 1 | W |
| 30/08 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 6-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
Partick Thistle (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 27/09 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 06/09 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 15 | 0 | W |
| 23/08 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 16/08 | Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hearts (W) vs Partick Thistle (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hearts (W) win (85%). Probabilities: Hearts (W) 85%, draw 10%, Partick Thistle (W) 5%.
How many goals are expected in Hearts (W) vs Partick Thistle (W)?
The model expects 3.89 goals (Hearts (W) 2.95 · Partick Thistle (W) 0.95), with a 56% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Hearts (W) vs Partick Thistle (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.