Football · Scotland Premier League Women · 21/10, 20:45

Prediction: Motherwell (W) vs Partick Thistle (W)

Team pages: Motherwell (W) · Partick Thistle (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

Motherwell (W)1.4

Partick Thistle (W)1.66

1X2

31% 26% 43%

Motherwell (W) Draw Partick Thistle (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Motherwell (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WDLLWLLLWL

Partick Thistle (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDDLWLLWLL

Head-to-head

Motherwell (W) 0–2–4 Partick Thistle (W) (6 last)

Partick Thistle (W)2-1Motherwell (W)
Motherwell (W)1-1Partick Thistle (W)
Partick Thistle (W)1-1Motherwell (W)
Motherwell (W)0-4Partick Thistle (W)
Partick Thistle (W)4-2Motherwell (W)
Motherwell (W)2-4Partick Thistle (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Motherwell (W) 1469 · Partick Thistle (W) 1459

	Motherwell (W)	Draw	Partick Thistle (W)
Our model	31%	26%	43%
Market	31%	26%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Partick Thistle (W): 4-2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Motherwell (W)	Partick Thistle (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 2.5	1.4 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1	0.7 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/33/44%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.7	2.5 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0.1	1.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.50

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
13:52 +14’	2.88	3.50	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Motherwell (W) 0–2–4 Partick Thistle (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/12/25 Scotland Premier League Women	Partick Thistle (W)	2-1 HT 0-0	Motherwell (W)
21/09/25 Scotland Premier League Women	Motherwell (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Partick Thistle (W)
17/11/24 Scotland Premier League Women	Partick Thistle (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Motherwell (W)
08/09/24 Scotland Premier League Women	Motherwell (W)	0-4 HT 0-2	Partick Thistle (W)
07/01/24 Scotland Women FA Cup	Partick Thistle (W)	4-2 HT 1-2	Motherwell (W)
26/11/23 Scotland Premier League Women	Motherwell (W)	2-4 HT 1-2	Partick Thistle (W)

Standings · Scotland Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Rangers (W)	8	8	0	0	30	6	24
2	Celtic (W)	8	7	0	1	23	8	21
3	Hearts (W)	8	6	1	1	30	8	19
4	Glasgow City (W)	8	5	2	1	25	8	17
5	Hibernian (W)	8	4	1	3	24	13	13
6	Partick Thistle (W)	8	2	1	5	12	20	7
7	Spartans (W)	8	2	1	5	6	24	7
8	Motherwell (W)	8	2	0	6	4	22	6
9	Montrose LFC (W)	8	1	0	7	9	29	3
10	Aberdeen (W)	8	0	0	8	2	27	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Motherwell (W)	Partick Thistle (W)
Glasgow City (W)	0-3 L	1-4 L
Aberdeen (W)	1-0 W	3-0 W
Spartans (W)	0-2 L	1-1 D
Celtic (W)	0-1 L	2-3 L
Rangers (W)	0-3 L	0-1 L
Montrose LFC (W)	3-1 W	3-2 W
Hearts (W)	0-5 L	1-6 L
Hibernian (W)	0-7 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 6 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Partick Thistle (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Motherwell (W)

WDLLWLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-3	0-3	1	3	L
04/10	Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
27/09	Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	0-2	9	1	L
18/09	Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
06/09	Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-1	0-3	3	4	L
30/08	Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women	–	3-1	–	–	W
23/08	Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-3	0-5	2	1	L
16/08	Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-2	0-7	4	1	L
17/05	Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	2-2	2	2	D
10/05	Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-0	2-1	3	4	W

Partick Thistle (W)

LDDLWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-3	1-6	3	2	L
04/10	Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-1	0-1	2	2	L
27/09	Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-1	3-2	7	2	W
20/09	Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-1	1-4	1	0	L
06/09	Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-1	2-3	4	5	L
30/08	Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-0	3-0	15	0	W
23/08	Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-2	1-3	5	2	L
16/08	Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	1-1	7	3	D
24/05	Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-1	1-1	2	1	D
17/05	Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-3	1-3	2	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Motherwell (W) vs Partick Thistle (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Partick Thistle (W) win (43%). Probabilities: Motherwell (W) 31%, draw 26%, Partick Thistle (W) 43%.

How many goals are expected in Motherwell (W) vs Partick Thistle (W)?

The model expects 3.06 goals (Motherwell (W) 1.4 · Partick Thistle (W) 1.66), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Motherwell (W) vs Partick Thistle (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.