Football · Scotland Premier League Women · 21/10, 20:30

Prediction: Montrose LFC (W) vs Aberdeen (W)

Team pages: Montrose LFC (W) · Aberdeen (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.5Total

Montrose LFC (W)2.32

Aberdeen (W)1.18

1X2

62% 21% 17%

Montrose LFC (W) Draw Aberdeen (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Montrose LFC (W) 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLLLLW

Aberdeen (W) 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

WDLLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

Montrose LFC (W) 4–1–1 Aberdeen (W) (6 last)

Aberdeen (W)0-1Montrose LFC (W)
Montrose LFC (W)2-1Aberdeen (W)
Aberdeen (W)1-2Montrose LFC (W)
Montrose LFC (W)0-2Aberdeen (W)
Aberdeen (W)2-2Montrose LFC (W)
Montrose LFC (W)3-2Aberdeen (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Montrose LFC (W) 1453 · Aberdeen (W) 1380

	Montrose LFC (W)	Draw	Aberdeen (W)
Our model	62%	21%	17%
Market	62%	21%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 3.5 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Montrose LFC (W) (rating 1453 vs 1380).
H2H favours Montrose LFC (W): 4-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Montrose LFC (W)	Aberdeen (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 3.1	0.8 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	0.2 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/22/44%	10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.9	0.7 / 2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.6 / 0.2	1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.45

X4.20

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.02

2 (+1.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.45▼	Bet365 1.45
X	4.10 → 4.20▲	Bet365 4.20
2	4.75 → 5.25▲	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:01 +5’	1.53	4.10	4.75
16:03 +4’	1.45▼	4.20▲	5.25▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Montrose LFC (W) 4–1–1 Aberdeen (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Scotland Premier League Women	Aberdeen (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Montrose LFC (W)
05/04/26 Scotland Premier League Women	Montrose LFC (W)	2-1 HT 0-1	Aberdeen (W)
23/11/25 Scotland Premier League Women	Aberdeen (W)	1-2 HT 1-2	Montrose LFC (W)
31/08/25 Scotland Premier League Women	Montrose LFC (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Aberdeen (W)
07/05/25 Scotland Premier League Women	Aberdeen (W)	2-2 HT 0-0	Montrose LFC (W)
16/04/25 Scotland Premier League Women	Montrose LFC (W)	3-2 HT 1-2	Aberdeen (W)

Standings · Scotland Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Rangers (W)	8	8	0	0	30	6	24
2	Celtic (W)	8	7	0	1	23	8	21
3	Hearts (W)	8	6	1	1	30	8	19
4	Glasgow City (W)	8	5	2	1	25	8	17
5	Hibernian (W)	8	4	1	3	24	13	13
6	Partick Thistle (W)	8	2	1	5	12	20	7
7	Spartans (W)	8	2	1	5	6	24	7
8	Motherwell (W)	8	2	0	6	4	22	6
9	Montrose LFC (W)	8	1	0	7	9	29	3
10	Aberdeen (W)	8	0	0	8	2	27	0

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Montrose LFC (W)	Aberdeen (W)
Spartans (W)	3-0 W	1-3 L
Glasgow City (W)	1-3 L	0-3 L
Partick Thistle (W)	2-3 L	0-3 L
Hibernian (W)	1-6 L	0-2 L
Hearts (W)	0-7 L	0-6 L
Motherwell (W)	1-3 L	0-1 L
Celtic (W)	0-3 L	0-6 L
Rangers (W)	1-4 L	1-3 L
Hamilton (W)	5-0 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 7 L	1 W 0 D 8 L

Better against common opponents: Montrose LFC (W) (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Montrose LFC (W)

LWLLLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	3-0	11	2	W
04/10	Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-2	1-3	3	3	L
27/09	Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	2-3	2	2	L
20/09	Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-2	1-6	3	2	L
06/09	Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-2	0-7	3	1	L
30/08	Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women	–	1-3	–	–	L
23/08	Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	0-3	1	0	L
16/08	Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-1	1-4	2	1	L
17/05	Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-0	5-0	0	1	W
10/05	Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-2	1-2	10	4	L

Aberdeen (W)

WDLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-2	0-6	1	2	L
04/10	Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
27/09	Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-1	0-2	0	0	L
20/09	Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-3	1-3	0	0	L
06/09	Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-1	1-3	4	2	L
30/08	Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-2	0-3	2	0	L
23/08	Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-1	0-3	0	1	L
16/08	Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-3	0-6	0	1	L
17/05	Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-1	2-2	2	2	D
10/05	Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	4-0	9	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Montrose LFC (W) vs Aberdeen (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Montrose LFC (W) win (62%). Probabilities: Montrose LFC (W) 62%, draw 21%, Aberdeen (W) 17%.

How many goals are expected in Montrose LFC (W) vs Aberdeen (W)?

The model expects 3.5 goals (Montrose LFC (W) 2.32 · Aberdeen (W) 1.18), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Montrose LFC (W) vs Aberdeen (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.