Football · Scotland Premier League Women · 21/10, 20:30

Prediction: Celtic (W) vs Hearts (W)

Team pages: Celtic (W) · Hearts (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.56Total

Celtic (W)1.61

Hearts (W)1.95

1X2

31% 25% 44%

Celtic (W) Draw Hearts (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Celtic (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LDWWWWWLWW

Hearts (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DLWWLWWDWW

Head-to-head

Celtic (W) 3–1–2 Hearts (W) (6 last)

Celtic (W)1-2Hearts (W)
Hearts (W)4-1Celtic (W)
Celtic (W)5-3Hearts (W)
Hearts (W)2-2Celtic (W)
Hearts (W)1-2Celtic (W)
Celtic (W)2-1Hearts (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Celtic (W) 1575 · Hearts (W) 1573

	Celtic (W)	Draw	Hearts (W)
Our model	31%	24%	45%
Market	30%	26%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 3.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Celtic (W): 3-1-2.
High corners: 13.6 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Celtic (W)	Hearts (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.3	3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.7	1.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.3	3.3 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	1.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.40

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 1.1 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:52 +14’	3.00	3.40	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Celtic (W) 3–1–2 Hearts (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Scotland Premier League Women	Celtic (W)	1-2 HT 1-2	Hearts (W)
01/04/26 Scotland Premier League Women	Hearts (W)	4-1 HT 2-0	Celtic (W)
22/02/26 Scotland Premier League Women	Celtic (W)	5-3 HT 2-0	Hearts (W)
15/02/26 Scotland Women FA Cup	Hearts (W)	2-2 HT 1-2	Celtic (W)
17/08/25 Scotland Premier League Women	Hearts (W)	1-2 HT 0-2	Celtic (W)
30/04/25 Scotland Premier League Women	Celtic (W)	2-1 HT 0-1	Hearts (W)

Standings · Scotland Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Rangers (W)	8	8	0	0	30	6	24
2	Celtic (W)	8	7	0	1	23	8	21
3	Hearts (W)	8	6	1	1	30	8	19
4	Glasgow City (W)	8	5	2	1	25	8	17
5	Hibernian (W)	8	4	1	3	24	13	13
6	Partick Thistle (W)	8	2	1	5	12	20	7
7	Spartans (W)	8	2	1	5	6	24	7
8	Motherwell (W)	8	2	0	6	4	22	6
9	Montrose LFC (W)	8	1	0	7	9	29	3
10	Aberdeen (W)	8	0	0	8	2	27	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Celtic (W)	Hearts (W)
Aberdeen (W)	6-0 W	6-0 W
Spartans (W)	4-0 W	1-0 W
Rangers (W)	2-5 L	0-3 L
Motherwell (W)	1-0 W	5-0 W
Partick Thistle (W)	3-2 W	6-1 W
Hibernian (W)	2-0 W	3-2 W
Montrose LFC (W)	3-0 W	7-0 W
Glasgow City (W)	2-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 1 L	6 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Celtic (W)

LDWWWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-0	6-0	7	2	W
04/10	Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-0	4-0	9	4	W
27/09	Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-2	2-5	4	1	L
18/09	Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
06/09	Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-1	3-2	4	5	W
30/08	Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-0	2-0	4	4	W
23/08	Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	3-0	15	0	W
16/08	Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-1	2-1	8	2	W
24/05	Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-1	1-1	5	1	D
17/05	Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-2	0-4	2	5	L

Hearts (W)

DLWWLWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women	3-1	6-1	12	2	W
04/10	Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-1	3-2	2	5	W
27/09	Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	2-2	6	1	D
20/09	Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	1-0	8	1	W
06/09	Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-0	7-0	14	1	W
30/08	Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-2	0-3	3	2	L
23/08	Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women	3-0	5-0	7	1	W
16/08	Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women	3-0	6-0	12	1	W
24/05	Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-2	0-2	6	1	L
17/05	Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	3	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Celtic (W) vs Hearts (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hearts (W) win (44%). Probabilities: Celtic (W) 31%, draw 25%, Hearts (W) 44%.

How many goals are expected in Celtic (W) vs Hearts (W)?

The model expects 3.56 goals (Celtic (W) 1.61 · Hearts (W) 1.95), with a 58% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Celtic (W) vs Hearts (W)?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.