Football · Scotland Premier League Women · 18/10, 14:00
Prediction: Glasgow City (W) vs Motherwell (W)
Team pages: Glasgow City (W) · Motherwell (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.44Total
Glasgow City (W)3.22
Motherwell (W)1.22
1X2
Glasgow City (W)
Draw
Motherwell (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Glasgow City (W)
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Motherwell (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Glasgow City (W)
6–0
Motherwell (W)
(6 last)
- Motherwell (W)0-4Glasgow City (W)
- Glasgow City (W)3-0Motherwell (W)
- Motherwell (W)1-2Glasgow City (W)
- Glasgow City (W)4-0Motherwell (W)
- Glasgow City (W)4-0Motherwell (W)
- Glasgow City (W)4-0Motherwell (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Glasgow City (W) 1589 · Motherwell (W) 1488
| Glasgow City (W) | Draw | Motherwell (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| Market | 93% | 5% | 2% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.44 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Glasgow City (W) (rating 1589 vs 1488).
- H2H favours Glasgow City (W): 6-0-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Glasgow City (W) | Motherwell (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 22/44/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.7 | 2 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.6 / 0 | 1.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Glasgow City (W) 6–0–0 Motherwell (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Scotland Premier League Women | Motherwell (W) | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Glasgow City (W) |
| 17/08/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Glasgow City (W) | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Motherwell (W) |
| 14/05/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Motherwell (W) | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Glasgow City (W) |
| 26/04/25 Scotland Women FA Cup | Glasgow City (W) | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Motherwell (W) |
| 13/04/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Glasgow City (W) | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Motherwell (W) |
| 02/03/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Glasgow City (W) | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Motherwell (W) |
Standings · Scotland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers (W) | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 4 | 21 |
| 2 | Celtic (W) | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Hearts (W) | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Glasgow City (W) | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 |
| 5 | Hibernian (W) | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 |
| 6 | Partick Thistle (W) | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 7 |
| 7 | Spartans (W) | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 7 |
| 8 | Motherwell (W) | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 6 |
| 9 | Aberdeen (W) | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 | Montrose LFC (W) | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 29 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Glasgow City (W) | Motherwell (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Montrose LFC (W) | 3-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Hearts (W) | 2-2 D | 0-5 L |
| Hibernian (W) | 2-2 D | 0-7 L |
| Spartans (W) | 7-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Aberdeen (W) | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Celtic (W) | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Rangers (W) | 6-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Glasgow City (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Glasgow City (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 27/09 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 20/09 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 04/09 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 30/08 | Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 7-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 23/08 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 6-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
Motherwell (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 27/09 | Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 18/09 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/08 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 16/08 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-7 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Glasgow City (W) vs Motherwell (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Glasgow City (W) win (85%). Probabilities: Glasgow City (W) 85%, draw 9%, Motherwell (W) 6%.
How many goals are expected in Glasgow City (W) vs Motherwell (W)?
The model expects 4.44 goals (Glasgow City (W) 3.22 · Motherwell (W) 1.22), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Glasgow City (W) vs Motherwell (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.