Football · Ukraine Vyscha Liga · 03/08, 14:30
Prediction: Bukovyna Chernivtsi vs LNZ Lebedyn
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.28Total
Bukovyna Chernivtsi0.99
LNZ Lebedyn1.29
1X2
Bukovyna Chernivtsi
Draw
LNZ Lebedyn
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Bukovyna Chernivtsi
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
LNZ Lebedyn
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bukovyna Chernivtsi
1–1–0
LNZ Lebedyn
(2 last)
- LNZ Lebedyn0-0Bukovyna Chernivtsi
- LNZ Lebedyn0-2Bukovyna Chernivtsi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bukovyna Chernivtsi 1562 · LNZ Lebedyn 1533
| Bukovyna Chernivtsi | Draw | LNZ Lebedyn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 31% | 42% |
| Market | 28% | 29% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bukovyna Chernivtsi | LNZ Lebedyn | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.1 | 1.4 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 4.5 | 2.5 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.3 | 2.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bukovyna Chernivtsi 1–1–0 LNZ Lebedyn
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03/26 Ukraine Cup | LNZ Lebedyn | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi |
| 27/09/21 Ukraine Druha Liga | LNZ Lebedyn | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi |
Standings · Ukraine Vyscha Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karpaty Lviv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | FC Zorya Lugansk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Kharkiv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Dynamo Kiev | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | FC Livyi Bereh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | FC Kudrivka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | LNZ Lebedyn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Chernomorets Odessa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | FC Veres Rivne | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Kolos Kovalivka | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | Obolon Kyiv | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bukovyna Chernivtsi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Europe Friendlies |
2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 11/07 | MFK Zemplin Michalovce Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 01/07 | FC Veres Rivne Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/06 | Metalurg Zaporizhya Ukraine Persha Liga |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Chernomorets Odessa Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/05 | UCSA Ukraine Persha Liga |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Vorskla Poltava Ukraine Persha Liga |
2-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Nyva Ternopil Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/04 | Dynamo Kiev Ukraine Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
LNZ Lebedyn
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Gent UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 23/07 | Gent UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 16/07 | Goztepe Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Olimpija Ljubljana Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 11/07 | MTK Budapest Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 05/07 | FC Koper Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 30/06 | SK Sturm Graz Europe Friendlies |
4-1 | 6-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Hajduk Split Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | Obolon Kyiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 18/05 | FC Kudrivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bukovyna Chernivtsi vs LNZ Lebedyn?
According to our model, the most likely result is an LNZ Lebedyn win (42%). Probabilities: Bukovyna Chernivtsi 28%, draw 30%, LNZ Lebedyn 42%.
How many goals are expected in Bukovyna Chernivtsi vs LNZ Lebedyn?
The model expects 2.28 goals (Bukovyna Chernivtsi 0.99 · LNZ Lebedyn 1.29), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Bukovyna Chernivtsi vs LNZ Lebedyn?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.