Football · Poland II Liga · 23/08, 14:30

Prediction: Lechia Zielona Góra vs Hutnik Krakow

Team pages: Lechia Zielona Góra · Hutnik Krakow

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.68Total
Lechia Zielona Góra1.34
Hutnik Krakow1.34
1X2
36% 28% 36%
Lechia Zielona Góra Draw Hutnik Krakow
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Lechia Zielona Góra 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
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Hutnik Krakow 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lechia Zielona Góra 1540 · Hutnik Krakow 1536
Lechia Zielona GóraDrawHutnik Krakow
Our model36%28%36%
Market36%28%36%
Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 13.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Lechia Zielona GóraHutnik Krakow
Goals for / against (FT)2.4 / 1.81.5 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.80.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 6.53.1 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 0.35.6 / 0.2

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Hutnik Krakow 4310 10210
2 Znicz Pruszków 4301 739
3 Avia Swidnik 4301 859
4 GKS Tychy 71 4220 648
5 Rekord Bielsko-Biala 4211 757
6 Sandecja Nowy Sacz 4211 437
7 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 4211 457
8 Slask Wroclaw II 4202 966
9 Stal Stalowa Wola 4202 856
10 Gornik Leczna 4202 876
11 Lechia Zielona Góra 4121 1065
12 Olimpia Grudziadz 4121 575
12 Sokol Kleczew 4121 575
14 Podhale Nowy Targ 4112 7114
15 Legia Warsaw II 4103 663
16 Chojniczanka Chojnice 4103 393
17 Resovia Rzeszow 4013 391
18 OKS Swit Skolwin 4004 2120

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLechia Zielona GóraHutnik Krakow
Olimpia Grudziadz 2-2 D 2-2 D
Warta Poznan 2-1 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Lechia Zielona Góra (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lechia Zielona Góra

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Poland II Liga
0-1 1-2 77 L
08/08 Sokol Kleczew
Poland II Liga
2-1 6-1 54 W
01/08 Olimpia Grudziadz
Poland II Liga
1-1 2-2 96 D
25/07 Rekord Bielsko-Biala
Poland II Liga
0-0 1-1 50 D
18/07 Warta Poznan
Europe Friendlies
2-1 2-1 90 W
08/07 Slask Wroclaw
Club Friendly List
0-1 0-6 L
01/07 Chrobry Glogow
Europe Friendlies
0-2 1-3 L
30/05 Gornik Polkowice
Poland III Liga
0-0 2-1 57 W
23/05 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
Poland III Liga
0-0 4-0 43 W
16/05 LZS Starowice Dolne
Poland III Liga
2-1 5-1 83 W

Hutnik Krakow

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Legia Warsaw II
Poland II Liga
2-0 2-0 72 W
08/08 Podhale Nowy Targ
Poland II Liga
2-1 5-2 49 W
05/08 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
Poland Cup
0-0 0-2 62 L
01/08 OKS Swit Skolwin
Poland II Liga
2-0 3-0 106 W
25/07 Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Poland II Liga
0-0 0-0 86 D
30/05 Stal Stalowa Wola
Poland II Liga
0-1 0-1 86 L
24/05 Olimpia Grudziadz
Poland II Liga
1-2 2-2 18 D
17/05 Podhale Nowy Targ
Poland II Liga
1-0 1-0 56 W
10/05 Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Poland II Liga
1-0 2-0 139 W
03/05 Warta Poznan
Poland II Liga
0-1 0-1 74 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lechia Zielona Góra vs Hutnik Krakow?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lechia Zielona Góra win (36%). Probabilities: Lechia Zielona Góra 36%, draw 28%, Hutnik Krakow 36%.

How many goals are expected in Lechia Zielona Góra vs Hutnik Krakow?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Lechia Zielona Góra 1.34 · Hutnik Krakow 1.34), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Lechia Zielona Góra vs Hutnik Krakow?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.