Football · Poland II Liga · 23/10, 18:00
Prediction: Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs OKS Swit Skolwin
Team pages: Zawisza Bydgoszcz · OKS Swit Skolwin
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.24Total
Zawisza Bydgoszcz2.1
OKS Swit Skolwin1.14
1X2
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Draw
OKS Swit Skolwin
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
OKS Swit Skolwin
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
0–2–4
OKS Swit Skolwin
(6 last)
- OKS Swit Skolwin2-1Zawisza Bydgoszcz
- Zawisza Bydgoszcz0-1OKS Swit Skolwin
- OKS Swit Skolwin3-3Zawisza Bydgoszcz
- Zawisza Bydgoszcz0-1OKS Swit Skolwin
- OKS Swit Skolwin6-1Zawisza Bydgoszcz
- OKS Swit Skolwin1-1Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1506 · OKS Swit Skolwin 1461
| Zawisza Bydgoszcz | Draw | OKS Swit Skolwin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 22% | 19% |
| Market | 59% | 22% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zawisza Bydgoszcz (rating 1506 vs 1461).
- H2H favours OKS Swit Skolwin: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Zawisza Bydgoszcz | OKS Swit Skolwin | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.4 | 1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 7.7 | 1.7 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zawisza Bydgoszcz 0–2–4 OKS Swit Skolwin
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/24 Poland III Liga | OKS Swit Skolwin | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz |
| 05/11/23 Poland III Liga | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 0-1 HT 0-0 | OKS Swit Skolwin |
| 04/06/23 Poland III Liga | OKS Swit Skolwin | 3-3 HT 0-3 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz |
| 05/11/22 Poland III Liga | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 0-1 HT 0-0 | OKS Swit Skolwin |
| 29/05/22 Poland III Liga | OKS Swit Skolwin | 6-1 HT 2-1 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz |
| 23/10/21 Poland III Liga | OKS Swit Skolwin | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz |
Standings · Poland II Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Znicz Pruszków | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 29 |
| 2 | GKS Tychy 71 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 26 |
| 3 | Gornik Leczna | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 20 |
| 4 | Sandecja Nowy Sacz | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 19 |
| 5 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 20 | 19 |
| 6 | Olimpia Grudziadz | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 19 |
| 7 | Hutnik Krakow | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 18 |
| 8 | Chojniczanka Chojnice | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 18 |
| 9 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 17 |
| 10 | Avia Swidnik | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 18 | 17 |
| 11 | Lechia Zielona Góra | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 16 |
| 11 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 16 |
| 13 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 24 | 16 |
| 14 | Legia Warsaw II | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 13 |
| 15 | Slask Wroclaw II | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 24 | 10 |
| 16 | Sokol Kleczew | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 25 | 9 |
| 17 | OKS Swit Skolwin | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 26 | 9 |
| 18 | Resovia Rzeszow | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | OKS Swit Skolwin |
|---|---|---|
| Sandecja Nowy Sacz | 3-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Znicz Pruszków | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Olimpia Grudziadz | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Legia Warsaw II | 4-1 W | 0-5 L |
| Avia Swidnik | 4-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Lechia Zielona Góra | 2-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: OKS Swit Skolwin (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga |
1-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 11/10 | Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 04/10 | Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 18/09 | Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 04/09 | Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga |
1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 29/08 | Legia Warsaw II Poland II Liga |
1-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga |
1-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 08/08 | Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
OKS Swit Skolwin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 10/10 | Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 03/10 | Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 11 | W |
| 18/09 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 12/09 | Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga |
1-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 30/08 | GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Legia Warsaw II Poland II Liga |
0-1 | 0-5 | 7 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs OKS Swit Skolwin?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Zawisza Bydgoszcz win (59%). Probabilities: Zawisza Bydgoszcz 59%, draw 22%, OKS Swit Skolwin 19%.
How many goals are expected in Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs OKS Swit Skolwin?
The model expects 3.24 goals (Zawisza Bydgoszcz 2.1 · OKS Swit Skolwin 1.14), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs OKS Swit Skolwin?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.