Football · Poland II Liga · 03/10, 16:00

Prediction: OKS Swit Skolwin vs Sokol Kleczew

Team pages: OKS Swit Skolwin · Sokol Kleczew

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

OKS Swit Skolwin1.72

Sokol Kleczew1.57

1X2

41% 25% 34%

OKS Swit Skolwin Draw Sokol Kleczew

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

OKS Swit Skolwin 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLDDWLL

Sokol Kleczew 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

WDDLWLDLDD

Head-to-head

OKS Swit Skolwin 1–3–2 Sokol Kleczew (6 last)

Sokol Kleczew3-0OKS Swit Skolwin
OKS Swit Skolwin3-1Sokol Kleczew
Sokol Kleczew2-2OKS Swit Skolwin
OKS Swit Skolwin2-2Sokol Kleczew
OKS Swit Skolwin0-1Sokol Kleczew
Sokol Kleczew2-2OKS Swit Skolwin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · OKS Swit Skolwin 1424 · Sokol Kleczew 1497

	OKS Swit Skolwin	Draw	Sokol Kleczew
Our model	41%	25%	34%
Market	41%	25%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sokol Kleczew (rating 1424 vs 1497).
H2H favours Sokol Kleczew: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	OKS Swit Skolwin	Sokol Kleczew
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.4	1.2 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.1	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.5	2.9 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0	4.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.50

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.20▲	Pinn 2.33 ★
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.75 → 2.63▼	Pinn 2.69

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:24 +6’	2.10	3.50	2.75
15:48 +3’	2.20▲	3.50	2.63▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:13 +9’	2.25	3.41	2.67
09:22 +59’	2.29▲	3.49▲	2.72▲
22:59 +45’	2.33▲	3.44▼	2.69▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · OKS Swit Skolwin 1–3–2 Sokol Kleczew

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/03/26 Poland II Liga	Sokol Kleczew	3-0 HT 0-0	OKS Swit Skolwin
03/09/25 Poland II Liga	OKS Swit Skolwin	3-1 HT 1-1	Sokol Kleczew
25/11/23 Poland III Liga	Sokol Kleczew	2-2 HT 1-1	OKS Swit Skolwin
04/08/23 Poland III Liga	OKS Swit Skolwin	2-2 HT 2-0	Sokol Kleczew
15/04/23 Poland III Liga	OKS Swit Skolwin	0-1 HT 0-1	Sokol Kleczew
10/09/22 Poland III Liga	Sokol Kleczew	2-2 HT 0-2	OKS Swit Skolwin

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Znicz Pruszków	9	6	2	1	19	10	20
2	Gornik Leczna	9	5	2	2	18	9	17
3	GKS Tychy 71	9	4	5	0	12	6	17
4	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	9	4	4	1	16	11	16
5	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	9	5	1	3	14	9	16
6	Hutnik Krakow	9	4	3	2	16	11	15
7	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	9	4	3	2	13	8	15
8	Chojniczanka Chojnice	9	4	2	3	16	14	14
9	Podhale Nowy Targ	9	4	2	3	18	17	14
10	Lechia Zielona Góra	9	3	3	3	17	15	12
11	Olimpia Grudziadz	9	3	3	3	11	15	12
12	Stal Stalowa Wola	9	3	1	5	14	17	10
13	Avia Swidnik	9	3	1	5	12	16	10
14	Legia Warsaw II	9	3	0	6	18	17	9
15	Slask Wroclaw II	9	3	0	6	15	17	9
16	Sokol Kleczew	9	1	5	3	10	21	8
17	OKS Swit Skolwin	9	1	2	6	9	23	5
18	Resovia Rzeszow	9	0	3	6	6	18	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	OKS Swit Skolwin	Sokol Kleczew
Rekord Bielsko-Biala	0-3 L	3-0 W
Chojniczanka Chojnice	1-5 L	1-1 D
Lechia Zielona Góra	4-1 W	1-6 L
Legia Warsaw II	0-5 L	1-6 L
Gornik Leczna	2-3 L	0-4 L
Olimpia Grudziadz	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Sokol Kleczew (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

OKS Swit Skolwin

LLLLLDDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	0-1	0-3	2	1	L
12/09	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	1-2	1-5	6	5	L
05/09	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	1-0	4-1	3	1	W
30/08	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	1	6	D
22/08	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	5	2	D
15/08	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
09/08	Legia Warsaw II Poland II Liga	0-1	0-5	7	0	L
01/08	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	0-2	0-3	7	6	L
25/07	Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga	1-2	2-3	6	6	L
30/05	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	0-0	0-1	5	5	L

Sokol Kleczew

WDDLWLDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga	2-0	2-2	3	7	D
11/09	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	9	8	D
05/09	Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga	0-0	0-4	4	4	L
29/08	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	0-1	1-1	5	7	D
23/08	Legia Warsaw II Poland II Liga	1-2	1-6	7	2	L
15/08	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	3-0	3-0	5	4	W
08/08	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	1-2	1-6	9	4	L
01/08	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
25/07	Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland II Liga	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
30/05	LKS Lodz II Poland II Liga	1-1	2-1	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in OKS Swit Skolwin vs Sokol Kleczew?

According to our model, the most likely result is a OKS Swit Skolwin win (41%). Probabilities: OKS Swit Skolwin 41%, draw 25%, Sokol Kleczew 34%.

How many goals are expected in OKS Swit Skolwin vs Sokol Kleczew?

The model expects 3.29 goals (OKS Swit Skolwin 1.72 · Sokol Kleczew 1.57), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in OKS Swit Skolwin vs Sokol Kleczew?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.