Football · Poland II Liga · 10/10, 15:00

Prediction: Avia Swidnik vs OKS Swit Skolwin

Team pages: Avia Swidnik · OKS Swit Skolwin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.36Total

Avia Swidnik2.11

OKS Swit Skolwin1.25

1X2

56% 23% 21%

Avia Swidnik Draw OKS Swit Skolwin

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Avia Swidnik 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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OKS Swit Skolwin 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Avia Swidnik 1475 · OKS Swit Skolwin 1454

	Avia Swidnik	Draw	OKS Swit Skolwin
Our model	56%	23%	21%
Market	56%	22%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.36 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Avia Swidnik	OKS Swit Skolwin
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.7	1.1 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 5.1	2.4 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	4.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.60

X4.00

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:39 +7’	1.60	4.00	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Znicz Pruszków	10	7	2	1	23	12	23
2	Gornik Leczna	10	6	2	2	21	10	20
3	GKS Tychy 71	10	5	5	0	14	6	20
4	Podhale Nowy Targ	10	5	2	3	20	18	17
5	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	10	4	4	2	17	13	16
6	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	10	5	1	4	15	11	16
7	Lechia Zielona Góra	10	4	3	3	20	16	15
8	Hutnik Krakow	10	4	3	3	16	13	15
9	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	10	4	3	3	14	11	15
10	Olimpia Grudziadz	10	4	3	3	13	16	15
11	Chojniczanka Chojnice	10	4	2	4	17	17	14
12	Avia Swidnik	10	3	2	5	13	17	11
13	Stal Stalowa Wola	10	3	1	6	16	21	10
14	Legia Warsaw II	9	3	0	6	18	17	9
15	Slask Wroclaw II	9	3	0	6	15	17	9
16	Sokol Kleczew	10	1	5	4	11	23	8
17	OKS Swit Skolwin	10	2	2	6	11	24	8
18	Resovia Rzeszow	10	0	4	6	7	19	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Avia Swidnik	OKS Swit Skolwin
Sokol Kleczew	2-2 D	2-1 W
Rekord Bielsko-Biala	0-1 L	0-3 L
GKS Tychy 71	0-1 L	1-1 D
Lechia Zielona Góra	1-3 L	4-1 W
Sandecja Nowy Sacz	3-0 W	0-1 L
Gornik Leczna	1-0 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Avia Swidnik

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga	0-1	1-1	2	6	D
18/09	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	0-2	2-2	12	7	D
13/09	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	14	3	L
06/09	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
29/08	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	0-0	1-3	5	4	L
22/08	Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland II Liga	1-1	1-4	4	4	L
16/08	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	0-1	0-4	6	1	L
09/08	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	1-0	3-0	4	0	W
01/08	Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
26/07	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	1-1	4-1	1	5	W

OKS Swit Skolwin

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	1-0	2-1	11	11	W
18/09	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	0-1	0-3	2	1	L
12/09	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	1-2	1-5	6	5	L
05/09	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	1-0	4-1	3	1	W
30/08	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	1	6	D
22/08	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	5	2	D
15/08	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
09/08	Legia Warsaw II Poland II Liga	0-1	0-5	7	0	L
01/08	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	0-2	0-3	7	6	L
25/07	Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga	1-2	2-3	6	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Avia Swidnik vs OKS Swit Skolwin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Avia Swidnik win (56%). Probabilities: Avia Swidnik 56%, draw 23%, OKS Swit Skolwin 21%.

How many goals are expected in Avia Swidnik vs OKS Swit Skolwin?

The model expects 3.36 goals (Avia Swidnik 2.11 · OKS Swit Skolwin 1.25), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Avia Swidnik vs OKS Swit Skolwin?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.