Football · Poland II Liga · 12/10, 19:00

Prediction: Olimpia Grudziadz vs Resovia Rzeszow

Team pages: Olimpia Grudziadz · Resovia Rzeszow

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.98Total

Olimpia Grudziadz1.83

Resovia Rzeszow1.15

1X2

52% 24% 23%

Olimpia Grudziadz Draw Resovia Rzeszow

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Olimpia Grudziadz 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Resovia Rzeszow 0-4-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDDLDLLD

Head-to-head

Olimpia Grudziadz 3–1–2 Resovia Rzeszow (6 last)

Olimpia Grudziadz2-1Resovia Rzeszow
Resovia Rzeszow1-1Olimpia Grudziadz
Olimpia Grudziadz0-3Resovia Rzeszow
Olimpia Grudziadz3-2Resovia Rzeszow
Resovia Rzeszow2-1Olimpia Grudziadz
Resovia Rzeszow0-2Olimpia Grudziadz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Olimpia Grudziadz 1542 · Resovia Rzeszow 1413

	Olimpia Grudziadz	Draw	Resovia Rzeszow
Our model	52%	25%	23%
Market	53%	24%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.98 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olimpia Grudziadz (rating 1542 vs 1413).
H2H favours Olimpia Grudziadz: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Olimpia Grudziadz	Resovia Rzeszow
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.6	0.7 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.6	3 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.2	4.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.80

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.70▲	Pinn 1.74
X	3.90 → 3.80▼	Bet365 3.80
2	4.20 → 3.80▼	Pinn 4.01 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:22 +17’	1.61	3.90	4.20
02:32 +3’	1.70▲	3.80▼	3.80▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:12 +8’	1.71	3.66	3.90
10:26 +245’	1.74▲	3.75▲	4.01▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Olimpia Grudziadz 3–1–2 Resovia Rzeszow

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Poland II Liga	Olimpia Grudziadz	2-1 HT 1-1	Resovia Rzeszow
15/08/25 Poland II Liga	Resovia Rzeszow	1-1 HT 1-1	Olimpia Grudziadz
09/03/25 Poland II Liga	Olimpia Grudziadz	0-3 HT 0-1	Resovia Rzeszow
29/10/24 Poland Cup	Olimpia Grudziadz	3-2 HT 1-0	Resovia Rzeszow
10/08/24 Poland II Liga	Resovia Rzeszow	2-1 HT 2-1	Olimpia Grudziadz
04/05/19 Poland II Liga	Resovia Rzeszow	0-2 HT 0-2	Olimpia Grudziadz

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Znicz Pruszków	10	7	2	1	23	12	23
2	Gornik Leczna	10	6	2	2	21	10	20
3	GKS Tychy 71	10	5	5	0	14	6	20
4	Podhale Nowy Targ	11	5	3	3	22	20	18
5	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	11	5	2	4	16	12	17
6	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	10	4	4	2	17	13	16
7	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	11	4	4	3	15	12	16
8	Hutnik Krakow	10	4	3	3	16	13	15
9	Lechia Zielona Góra	11	4	3	4	20	18	15
10	Chojniczanka Chojnice	11	4	3	4	19	19	15
11	Olimpia Grudziadz	10	4	3	3	13	16	15
12	Avia Swidnik	11	4	2	5	14	17	14
13	Stal Stalowa Wola	11	4	1	6	19	23	13
14	Legia Warsaw II	10	4	0	6	20	17	12
15	Slask Wroclaw II	10	3	0	7	17	20	9
16	Sokol Kleczew	10	1	5	4	11	23	8
17	OKS Swit Skolwin	11	2	2	7	11	25	8
18	Resovia Rzeszow	10	0	4	6	7	19	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Olimpia Grudziadz	Resovia Rzeszow
Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2-1 W	0-1 L
Chojniczanka Chojnice	1-3 L	2-2 D
Slask Wroclaw II	1-0 W	1-5 L
Podhale Nowy Targ	1-3 L	1-1 D
Znicz Pruszków	1-0 W	0-1 L
GKS Tychy 71	1-1 D	2-2 D
Lechia Zielona Góra	2-2 D	0-1 L
Avia Swidnik	1-4 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	0 W 4 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Olimpia Grudziadz (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Olimpia Grudziadz

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland II Liga	2-0	2-1	3	3	W
19/09	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	1-2	1-3	10	2	L
11/09	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	5	8	D
06/09	Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
29/08	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	0-2	1-3	6	3	L
23/08	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	1-1	2-1	2	3	W
16/08	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
09/08	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
01/08	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	1-1	2-2	7	6	D
26/07	Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga	1-1	1-4	7	5	L

Resovia Rzeszow

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga	1-0	1-1	5	6	D
20/09	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	0-1	0-2	2	7	L
11/09	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
05/09	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	2-1	2-2	6	3	D
28/08	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	0-1	0-3	5	5	L
22/08	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
15/08	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	1-1	2-2	4	4	D
08/08	Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
01/08	Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga	0-3	1-5	7	1	L
24/07	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	0-0	0-1	9	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Olimpia Grudziadz vs Resovia Rzeszow?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Olimpia Grudziadz win (52%). Probabilities: Olimpia Grudziadz 52%, draw 24%, Resovia Rzeszow 23%.

How many goals are expected in Olimpia Grudziadz vs Resovia Rzeszow?

The model expects 2.98 goals (Olimpia Grudziadz 1.83 · Resovia Rzeszow 1.15), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Olimpia Grudziadz vs Resovia Rzeszow?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.