Football · Poland II Liga · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: Stal Stalowa Wola vs Slask Wroclaw II

Team pages: Stal Stalowa Wola · Slask Wroclaw II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.45Total

Stal Stalowa Wola1.94

Slask Wroclaw II1.5

1X2

47% 24% 29%

Stal Stalowa Wola Draw Slask Wroclaw II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Stal Stalowa Wola 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLDLWL

Slask Wroclaw II 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLWWLLLLLW

Head-to-head

Stal Stalowa Wola 0–3 Slask Wroclaw II (3 last)

Slask Wroclaw II3-2Stal Stalowa Wola
Stal Stalowa Wola0-1Slask Wroclaw II
Slask Wroclaw II3-2Stal Stalowa Wola

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stal Stalowa Wola 1454 · Slask Wroclaw II 1500

	Stal Stalowa Wola	Draw	Slask Wroclaw II
Our model	47%	24%	29%
Market	47%	24%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.45 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Slask Wroclaw II (rating 1454 vs 1500).
H2H favours Slask Wroclaw II: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stal Stalowa Wola	Slask Wroclaw II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.1	1.9 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.2	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.7	2.1 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.3	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.75

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:49 +12’	1.91	3.75	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stal Stalowa Wola 0–0–3 Slask Wroclaw II

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
05/08/26 Poland Cup	Slask Wroclaw II	3-2 HT 1-1	Stal Stalowa Wola
13/03/26 Poland II Liga	Stal Stalowa Wola	0-1 HT 0-1	Slask Wroclaw II
30/08/25 Poland II Liga	Slask Wroclaw II	3-2 HT 2-2	Stal Stalowa Wola

Standings · Poland II Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Znicz Pruszków	10	7	2	1	23	12	23
2	Gornik Leczna	10	6	2	2	21	10	20
3	GKS Tychy 71	10	5	5	0	14	6	20
4	Podhale Nowy Targ	10	5	2	3	20	18	17
5	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	10	4	4	2	17	13	16
6	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	10	5	1	4	15	11	16
7	Lechia Zielona Góra	10	4	3	3	20	16	15
8	Hutnik Krakow	10	4	3	3	16	13	15
9	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	10	4	3	3	14	11	15
10	Olimpia Grudziadz	10	4	3	3	13	16	15
11	Chojniczanka Chojnice	10	4	2	4	17	17	14
12	Avia Swidnik	10	3	2	5	13	17	11
13	Stal Stalowa Wola	10	3	1	6	16	21	10
14	Legia Warsaw II	9	3	0	6	18	17	9
15	Slask Wroclaw II	9	3	0	6	15	17	9
16	Sokol Kleczew	10	1	5	4	11	23	8
17	OKS Swit Skolwin	10	2	2	6	11	24	8
18	Resovia Rzeszow	10	0	4	6	7	19	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stal Stalowa Wola	Slask Wroclaw II
Znicz Pruszków	2-4 L	2-3 L
Resovia Rzeszow	2-0 W	5-1 W
Podhale Nowy Targ	0-5 L	1-3 L
Hutnik Krakow	1-2 L	2-0 W
Chojniczanka Chojnice	0-2 L	1-2 L
GKS Tychy 71	1-2 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Slask Wroclaw II (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stal Stalowa Wola

WLLWLLDLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	1-3	2-4	2	5	L
20/09	Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga	1-0	2-0	3	7	W
12/09	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	0-3	0-5	6	3	L
04/09	Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland II Liga	1-1	3-3	6	7	D
29/08	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	1-2	1-2	9	3	L
21/08	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
16/08	Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga	1-0	4-0	3	1	W
08/08	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	0-2	1-3	6	1	L
31/07	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	0-0	1-2	3	4	L
25/07	Legia Warsaw II Poland II Liga	0-0	2-0	5	2	W

Slask Wroclaw II

WLWWLLLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	1-0	2-0	7	4	W
13/09	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	0-2	2-4	3	3	L
06/09	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	0-0	0-1	8	5	L
29/08	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	1-2	2-3	1	2	L
23/08	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	0-0	0-3	2	2	L
15/08	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	1-0	1-2	8	8	L
09/08	Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga	1-0	2-0	4	7	W
01/08	Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga	3-0	5-1	3	1	W
25/07	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	0-2	1-3	2	6	L
23/05	LKS Lodz II Poland II Liga	2-1	4-1	5	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stal Stalowa Wola vs Slask Wroclaw II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Stal Stalowa Wola win (47%). Probabilities: Stal Stalowa Wola 47%, draw 24%, Slask Wroclaw II 29%.

How many goals are expected in Stal Stalowa Wola vs Slask Wroclaw II?

The model expects 3.45 goals (Stal Stalowa Wola 1.94 · Slask Wroclaw II 1.5), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Stal Stalowa Wola vs Slask Wroclaw II?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.