Football · Poland II Liga · 11/10, 19:30

Prediction: Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Znicz Pruszków

Team pages: Zawisza Bydgoszcz · Znicz Pruszków

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.13Total
Zawisza Bydgoszcz1.57
Znicz Pruszków1.57
1X2
37% 26% 37%
Zawisza Bydgoszcz Draw Znicz Pruszków
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Zawisza Bydgoszcz 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DLWWWWDDDL
Znicz Pruszków 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
WWWLDWWDWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1524 · Znicz Pruszków 1583
Zawisza BydgoszczDrawZnicz Pruszków
Our model37%26%37%
Market37%26%37%
Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Znicz Pruszków (rating 1524 vs 1583).
  • High corners: 13.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Zawisza BydgoszczZnicz Pruszków
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.32.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.51.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 6.73.6 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 0.23.8 / 0.3

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Znicz Pruszków 10721 231223
2 Gornik Leczna 10622 211020
3 GKS Tychy 71 10550 14620
4 Podhale Nowy Targ 11533 222018
5 Rekord Bielsko-Biala 11524 161217
6 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 10442 171316
7 Sandecja Nowy Sacz 11443 151216
8 Hutnik Krakow 10433 161315
9 Lechia Zielona Góra 11434 201815
10 Chojniczanka Chojnice 11434 191915
11 Olimpia Grudziadz 10433 131615
12 Avia Swidnik 11425 141714
13 Stal Stalowa Wola 11416 192313
14 Legia Warsaw II 10406 201712
15 Slask Wroclaw II 10307 17209
16 Sokol Kleczew 10154 11238
17 OKS Swit Skolwin 11227 11258
18 Resovia Rzeszow 10046 7194

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentZawisza BydgoszczZnicz Pruszków
Olimpia Grudziadz 1-2 L 0-1 L
Hutnik Krakow 1-1 D 4-2 W
Stal Stalowa Wola 3-3 D 4-2 W
Legia Warsaw II 4-1 W 2-1 W
Lechia Zielona Góra 2-1 W 3-1 W
Resovia Rzeszow 1-0 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 1 L 5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Znicz Pruszków (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zawisza Bydgoszcz

DLWWWWDDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/10 Olimpia Grudziadz
Poland II Liga
0-2 1-2 103 L
18/09 Gornik Leczna
Poland II Liga
0-0 0-0 43 D
12/09 Hutnik Krakow
Poland II Liga
1-1 1-1 105 D
04/09 Stal Stalowa Wola
Poland II Liga
1-1 3-3 57 D
29/08 Legia Warsaw II
Poland II Liga
1-0 4-1 63 W
22/08 Avia Swidnik
Poland II Liga
1-1 4-1 74 W
16/08 Lechia Zielona Góra
Poland II Liga
1-0 2-1 57 W
08/08 Resovia Rzeszow
Poland II Liga
1-0 1-0 95 W
02/08 Rekord Bielsko-Biala
Poland II Liga
0-0 0-3 31 L
25/07 Sokol Kleczew
Poland II Liga
0-0 1-1 84 D

Znicz Pruszków

WWWLDWWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/10 Stal Stalowa Wola
Poland II Liga
3-1 4-2 45 W
19/09 Lechia Zielona Góra
Poland II Liga
2-0 3-1 53 W
11/09 GKS Tychy 71
Poland II Liga
1-1 1-1 36 D
06/09 Hutnik Krakow
Poland II Liga
1-2 4-2 48 W
29/08 Slask Wroclaw II
Poland II Liga
2-1 3-2 112 W
22/08 OKS Swit Skolwin
Poland II Liga
1-1 1-1 72 D
16/08 Olimpia Grudziadz
Poland II Liga
0-0 0-1 64 L
09/08 Chojniczanka Chojnice
Poland II Liga
2-0 4-1 33 W
31/07 Legia Warsaw II
Poland II Liga
0-0 2-1 143 W
24/07 Resovia Rzeszow
Poland II Liga
0-0 1-0 115 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Znicz Pruszków?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Zawisza Bydgoszcz win (37%). Probabilities: Zawisza Bydgoszcz 37%, draw 26%, Znicz Pruszków 37%.

How many goals are expected in Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Znicz Pruszków?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1.57 · Znicz Pruszków 1.57), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Znicz Pruszków?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.