Football · Poland II Liga · 22/08, 17:00

Prediction: Znicz Pruszków vs OKS Swit Skolwin

Team pages: Znicz Pruszków · OKS Swit Skolwin

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.68Total
Znicz Pruszków2.49
OKS Swit Skolwin1.19
1X2
65% 20% 15%
Znicz Pruszków Draw OKS Swit Skolwin
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Znicz Pruszków 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
DLLLWWWWWW
OKS Swit Skolwin 1-1-8 (W-D-L)
LLLWLLLDLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Znicz Pruszków 1537 · OKS Swit Skolwin 1419
Znicz PruszkówDrawOKS Swit Skolwin
Our model65%19%16%
Market64%21%15%
Estimated total (ours) 3.68 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Znicz Pruszków (rating 1537 vs 1419).
  • High corners: 11 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Znicz PruszkówOKS Swit Skolwin
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 1.70.8 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.60.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 5.33.7 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 05 / 0

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Hutnik Krakow 4310 10210
2 Znicz Pruszków 4301 739
3 Avia Swidnik 4301 859
4 GKS Tychy 71 4220 648
5 Rekord Bielsko-Biala 4211 757
6 Sandecja Nowy Sacz 4211 437
7 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 4211 457
8 Slask Wroclaw II 4202 966
9 Stal Stalowa Wola 4202 856
10 Gornik Leczna 4202 876
11 Lechia Zielona Góra 4121 1065
12 Olimpia Grudziadz 4121 575
12 Sokol Kleczew 4121 575
14 Podhale Nowy Targ 4112 7114
15 Legia Warsaw II 4103 663
16 Chojniczanka Chojnice 4103 393
17 Resovia Rzeszow 4013 391
18 OKS Swit Skolwin 4004 2120

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentZnicz PruszkówOKS Swit Skolwin
Legia Warsaw II 2-1 W 0-5 L
Gornik Leczna 2-2 D 2-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Znicz Pruszków (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Znicz Pruszków

DLLLWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Chojniczanka Chojnice
Poland II Liga
2-0 4-1 33 W
05/08 LKS Lodz II
Poland Cup
2-1 3-1 32 W
31/07 Legia Warsaw II
Poland II Liga
0-0 2-1 143 W
24/07 Resovia Rzeszow
Poland II Liga
0-0 1-0 115 W
27/06 Polonia Warsaw
Europe Friendlies
1-1 3-2 15 W
24/05 Ruch Chorzow
Poland I Liga
2-1 3-2 24 W
16/05 Chrobry Glogow
Poland I Liga
1-1 2-3 65 L
09/05 Polonia Bytom
Poland I Liga
0-1 1-4 53 L
01/05 Puszcza Niepolomice
Poland I Liga
0-0 0-1 43 L
24/04 Gornik Leczna
Poland I Liga
2-1 2-2 42 D

OKS Swit Skolwin

LLLWLLLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Poland II Liga
0-1 0-1 34 L
09/08 Legia Warsaw II
Poland II Liga
0-1 0-5 70 L
05/08 Olimpia Grudziadz
Poland Cup
2-0 3-3 87 D
01/08 Hutnik Krakow
Poland II Liga
0-2 0-3 76 L
25/07 Gornik Leczna
Poland II Liga
1-2 2-3 66 L
17/07 Blekitni Stargard
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-1 L
08/07 Kluczevia Stargard
Club Friendly List
0-0 3-1 W
25/06 GKS Katowice
Club Friendly List
0-2 0-7 L
30/05 Olimpia Grudziadz
Poland II Liga
0-0 0-1 55 L
23/05 Rekord Bielsko-Biala
Poland II Liga
0-1 0-1 47 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Znicz Pruszków vs OKS Swit Skolwin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Znicz Pruszków win (65%). Probabilities: Znicz Pruszków 65%, draw 20%, OKS Swit Skolwin 15%.

How many goals are expected in Znicz Pruszków vs OKS Swit Skolwin?

The model expects 3.68 goals (Znicz Pruszków 2.49 · OKS Swit Skolwin 1.19), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Znicz Pruszków vs OKS Swit Skolwin?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.