Football · Poland II Liga · 21/08, 18:00

Prediction: Sandecja Nowy Sacz vs Gornik Leczna

Team pages: Sandecja Nowy Sacz · Gornik Leczna

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.12Total
Sandecja Nowy Sacz1.72
Gornik Leczna1.4
1X2
44% 26% 30%
Sandecja Nowy Sacz Draw Gornik Leczna
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sandecja Nowy Sacz 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WWLLLDWWLW
Gornik Leczna 3-0-7 (W-D-L)
LLLLLWLWLW
Head-to-head
Sandecja Nowy Sacz 1–2–1 Gornik Leczna (4 last)
  • Sandecja Nowy Sacz3-0Gornik Leczna
  • Gornik Leczna1-1Sandecja Nowy Sacz
  • Gornik Leczna3-0Sandecja Nowy Sacz
  • Sandecja Nowy Sacz1-1Gornik Leczna
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sandecja Nowy Sacz 1531 · Gornik Leczna 1463
Sandecja Nowy SaczDrawGornik Leczna
Our model44%26%30%
Market44%26%30%
Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sandecja Nowy Sacz (rating 1531 vs 1463).
  • High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sandecja Nowy SaczGornik Leczna
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.91.4 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.70.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 5.22.5 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 03.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sandecja Nowy Sacz 121 Gornik Leczna

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/02/23
Poland I Liga
Sandecja Nowy Sacz3-0
HT 2-0
Gornik Leczna
24/07/22
Poland I Liga
Gornik Leczna1-1
HT 1-1
Sandecja Nowy Sacz
13/06/21
Poland I Liga
Gornik Leczna3-0
HT 1-0
Sandecja Nowy Sacz
13/12/20
Poland I Liga
Sandecja Nowy Sacz1-1
HT 0-1
Gornik Leczna

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Hutnik Krakow 4310 10210
2 Znicz Pruszków 4301 739
3 Avia Swidnik 4301 859
4 GKS Tychy 71 4220 648
5 Rekord Bielsko-Biala 4211 757
6 Sandecja Nowy Sacz 4211 437
7 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 4211 457
8 Slask Wroclaw II 4202 966
9 Stal Stalowa Wola 4202 856
10 Gornik Leczna 4202 876
11 Lechia Zielona Góra 4121 1065
12 Olimpia Grudziadz 4121 575
12 Sokol Kleczew 4121 575
14 Podhale Nowy Targ 4112 7114
15 Legia Warsaw II 4103 663
16 Chojniczanka Chojnice 4103 393
17 Resovia Rzeszow 4013 391
18 OKS Swit Skolwin 4004 2120

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSandecja Nowy SaczGornik Leczna
OKS Swit Skolwin 1-0 W 3-2 W
Avia Swidnik 0-3 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Gornik Leczna (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sandecja Nowy Sacz

WWLLLDWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 OKS Swit Skolwin
Poland II Liga
1-0 1-0 64 W
09/08 Avia Swidnik
Poland II Liga
0-1 0-3 110 L
05/08 Rekord Bielsko-Biala
Poland Cup
1-0 3-0 23 W
02/08 Chojniczanka Chojnice
Poland II Liga
1-0 3-0 18 W
25/07 Hutnik Krakow
Poland II Liga
0-0 0-0 36 D
12/07 Wislok Wisniowa
Europe Friendlies
0-4 1-10 61 L
11/07 Termalica BB Nieciecza
Club Friendly List
1-1 1-2 L
06/06 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
Poland II Liga
0-1 1-3 37 L
02/06 Olimpia Grudziadz
Poland League II Play-Offs
0-0 2-1 52 W
30/05 Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Poland II Liga
1-0 1-0 103 W

Gornik Leczna

LLLLLWLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 Podhale Nowy Targ
Poland II Liga
3-0 5-2 43 W
09/08 Slask Wroclaw II
Poland II Liga
0-1 0-2 87 L
05/08 KKS 1925 Kalisz
Poland Cup
1-0 2-0 94 W
01/08 Avia Swidnik
Poland II Liga
0-0 0-1 54 L
25/07 OKS Swit Skolwin
Poland II Liga
2-1 3-2 16 W
08/07 Hetman Zamosc
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-1 L
04/07 Stal Rzeszow
Europe Friendlies
2-1 2-4 41 L
20/06 Dinamo Bucharest
Club Friendly List
0-1 1-2 73 L
24/05 LKS Lodz
Poland I Liga
1-0 1-3 41 L
16/05 Odra Opole
Poland I Liga
0-1 0-2 84 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sandecja Nowy Sacz vs Gornik Leczna?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sandecja Nowy Sacz win (44%). Probabilities: Sandecja Nowy Sacz 44%, draw 26%, Gornik Leczna 30%.

How many goals are expected in Sandecja Nowy Sacz vs Gornik Leczna?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Sandecja Nowy Sacz 1.72 · Gornik Leczna 1.4), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sandecja Nowy Sacz vs Gornik Leczna?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.