Football · Lithuania II Lyga · 28/08, 18:30

Prediction: Vilnius Football Academy vs FK Silute

Team pages: Vilnius Football Academy · FK Silute

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.46Total

Vilnius Football Academy3.23

FK Silute1.23

1X2

81% 11% 8%

Vilnius Football Academy Draw FK Silute

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

3-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Vilnius Football Academy 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWLDWDWW

FK Silute 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DDWLLDLWLW

Head-to-head

Vilnius Football Academy 1–0 FK Silute (1 last)

FK Silute1-4Vilnius Football Academy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vilnius Football Academy 1589 · FK Silute 1469

	Vilnius Football Academy	Draw	FK Silute
Our model	76%	14%	10%
Market	85%	9%	6%

Estimated total (ours) 4.46 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vilnius Football Academy (rating 1589 vs 1469).
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vilnius Football Academy	FK Silute
Goals for / against (FT)	3.6 / 1.3	1.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.9 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/10/20%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 6.6	2.3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.8	4 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.10

X10.00

215.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3)1.90

2 (+3)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 4.51.90

Under 4.51.90

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.10 → 1.10	Bet365 1.10
X	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
2	15.00 → 15.00	Bet365 15.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:05 +4’	1.10	10.00	15.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vilnius Football Academy 1–0–0 FK Silute

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Lithuania II Lyga	FK Silute	1-4 HT 0-0	Vilnius Football Academy

Standings · Lithuania II Lyga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nevezis	17	12	4	1	38	13	40
2	Vilnius Football Academy	18	12	4	2	59	23	40
3	Suduva Marijampole II	18	11	3	4	40	22	36
4	FM Klaipedos	19	10	2	7	29	23	32
5	FK Sveikata	18	8	6	4	37	23	30
6	FK Sirvena	18	8	5	5	35	23	29
7	FKS Ukmerge	17	7	3	7	26	24	24
8	Sirijus Klaipeda	17	6	5	6	34	29	23
9	FK Panevezys II	17	6	5	6	37	35	23
10	FK Neptunas Klaipeda II	18	6	3	9	33	36	21
11	Banga Gargzdai II	18	5	4	9	26	25	19
12	FK Silute	18	5	4	9	24	39	19
13	Utenis Utena	19	5	4	10	22	43	19
14	FK Viltis Vilnius	18	3	2	13	23	63	11
15	DFK Dainava II	18	3	0	15	27	69	9

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vilnius Football Academy	FK Silute
FK Neptunas Klaipeda II	4-2 W	2-2 D
Utenis Utena	6-1 W	2-0 W
FK Sirvena	1-1 D	1-3 L
FK Viltis Vilnius	9-0 W	3-2 W
Suduva Marijampole II	4-0 W	0-6 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Vilnius Football Academy (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vilnius Football Academy

WWDWLDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	FK Neptunas Klaipeda II Lithuania II Lyga	1-1	4-2	5	6	W
14/08	Banga Gargzdai II Lithuania II Lyga	0-1	2-1	6	3	W
08/08	FK Sveikata Lithuania II Lyga	2-1	2-2	3	6	D
31/07	FK Panevezys II Lithuania II Lyga	1-0	4-1	5	1	W
30/06	FK Panevezys II Lithuania II Lyga	1-2	3-3	4	10	D
26/06	Nevezis Lithuania II Lyga	1-0	1-2	9	2	L
12/06	Utenis Utena Lithuania II Lyga	4-0	6-1	4	5	W
05/06	FK Sirvena Lithuania II Lyga	1-0	1-1	8	7	D
31/05	FK Viltis Vilnius Lithuania II Lyga	6-0	9-0	3	5	W
22/05	Suduva Marijampole II Lithuania II Lyga	2-0	4-0	19	8	W

FK Silute

DDWLLDLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Utenis Utena Lithuania II Lyga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
14/08	FK Sirvena Lithuania II Lyga	0-1	1-3	3	6	L
08/08	FK Viltis Vilnius Lithuania II Lyga	2-1	3-2	10	4	W
01/08	Suduva Marijampole II Lithuania II Lyga	0-3	0-6	1	2	L
04/07	Suduva Marijampole II Lithuania II Lyga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
26/06	FKS Ukmerge Lithuania II Lyga	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
19/06	Sirijus Klaipeda Lithuania II Lyga	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
13/06	DFK Dainava II Lithuania II Lyga	0-0	2-1	1	5	W
05/06	FM Klaipedos Lithuania II Lyga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
23/05	FK Neptunas Klaipeda II Lithuania II Lyga	0-0	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vilnius Football Academy vs FK Silute?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vilnius Football Academy win (81%). Probabilities: Vilnius Football Academy 81%, draw 11%, FK Silute 8%.

How many goals are expected in Vilnius Football Academy vs FK Silute?

The model expects 4.46 goals (Vilnius Football Academy 3.23 · FK Silute 1.23), with a 52% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Vilnius Football Academy vs FK Silute?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.