Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 15/09, 20:45

Prediction: Glentoran vs Coleraine

Team pages: Glentoran · Coleraine

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

Glentoran1.41

Coleraine1.88

1X2

28% 24% 48%

Glentoran Draw Coleraine

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Glentoran 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Coleraine 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Glentoran 3–2–1 Coleraine (6 last)

Coleraine6-2Glentoran
Glentoran1-1Coleraine
Glentoran1-1Coleraine
Glentoran2-1Coleraine
Coleraine1-2Glentoran
Glentoran2-1Coleraine

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coleraine (rating 1485 vs 1611).
H2H favours Glentoran: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Glentoran	Coleraine
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.4	3.4 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	1.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	70/30/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 5.7	3.8 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.96

Under 2.751.83

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:10

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.76 → 2.74▼	Pinn 2.74
X	3.60 → 3.59▼	Pinn 3.59
2	2.35 → 2.37▲	Pinn 2.37

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:16 +207’	2.76	3.60	2.35
02:09 +1’	2.74▼	3.59▼	2.37▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Glentoran 3–2–1 Coleraine

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Coleraine	6-2 HT 2-0	Glentoran
21/03/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Glentoran	1-1 HT 0-1	Coleraine
03/02/26 Northern Ireland League Cup	Glentoran	1-1 HT 1-0	Coleraine
19/12/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Glentoran	2-1 HT 0-0	Coleraine
19/09/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Coleraine	1-2 HT 1-0	Glentoran
01/04/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Glentoran	2-1 HT 1-0	Coleraine

Standings · Northern Ireland Premier

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Coleraine	6	5	1	0	15	4	16
2	Linfield	6	5	0	1	7	4	15
3	Cliftonville	6	4	0	2	11	6	12
4	Dungannon Swifts	6	4	0	2	8	4	12
5	Larne FC	4	3	1	0	5	1	10
6	Carrick Rangers	6	3	0	3	8	7	9
7	Crusaders	6	3	0	3	10	12	9
8	Glentoran	6	2	1	3	8	7	7
9	Ballymena Utd	5	1	1	3	8	9	4
10	Limavady United	5	1	0	4	3	9	3
11	Bangor FC	6	0	2	4	3	13	2
12	Portadown	6	0	0	6	3	13	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Glentoran	Coleraine
Larne FC	1-2 L	0-0 D
Crusaders	1-2 L	4-1 W
Ballymena Utd	2-0 W	3-2 W
Linfield	1-2 L	3-0 W
Dungannon Swifts	5-0 W	3-1 W
Cliftonville	2-1 W	6-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	5 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Coleraine (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Glentoran

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	1-1	12	1	D
04/09	Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-2	3	4	L
29/08	Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
21/08	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	2-0	9	4	W
15/08	Linfield Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	1-2	1	7	L
08/08	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	2-0	5	5	W
25/04	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	0-2	2-6	2	0	L
17/04	Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
11/04	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	3-0	5-0	9	3	W
07/04	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	2-1	3	4	W

Coleraine

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	3-2	8	3	W
05/09	Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier	3-0	4-1	4	2	W
28/08	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	3-0	13	2	W
22/08	Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	2-0	1	4	W
15/08	Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
08/08	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	3-1	10	2	W
25/04	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	6-2	0	0	W
18/04	Linfield Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	3-0	8	0	W
11/04	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	4-2	6-2	6	3	W
07/04	Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier	1-1	4-1	2	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Glentoran vs Coleraine?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Coleraine win (48%). Probabilities: Glentoran 28%, draw 24%, Coleraine 48%.

How many goals are expected in Glentoran vs Coleraine?

The model expects 3.29 goals (Glentoran 1.41 · Coleraine 1.88), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Glentoran vs Coleraine?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.