Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 15/09, 20:45
Prediction: Crusaders vs Dungannon Swifts
Team pages: Crusaders · Dungannon Swifts
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.1Total
Crusaders1.69
Dungannon Swifts1.41
1X2
Crusaders
Draw
Dungannon Swifts
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Crusaders
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Dungannon Swifts
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Crusaders
2–1–3
Dungannon Swifts
(6 last)
- Crusaders2-0Dungannon Swifts
- Dungannon Swifts2-0Crusaders
- Dungannon Swifts0-3Crusaders
- Dungannon Swifts1-0Crusaders
- Crusaders1-4Dungannon Swifts
- Crusaders2-2Dungannon Swifts
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Dungannon Swifts: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Crusaders | Dungannon Swifts | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.5 | 1.4 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.4 | 2.7 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Crusaders 2–1–3 Dungannon Swifts
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Crusaders | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Dungannon Swifts |
| 01/11/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Dungannon Swifts | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Crusaders |
| 13/09/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Dungannon Swifts | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Crusaders |
| 26/04/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Dungannon Swifts | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Crusaders |
| 11/01/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Crusaders | 1-4 HT 0-2 | Dungannon Swifts |
| 03/12/24 Northern Ireland League Cup | Crusaders | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Dungannon Swifts |
Standings · Northern Ireland Premier
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coleraine | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 16 |
| 2 | Linfield | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Cliftonville | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Dungannon Swifts | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Larne FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Carrick Rangers | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 7 | Crusaders | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 9 |
| 8 | Glentoran | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
| 9 | Ballymena Utd | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 4 |
| 10 | Limavady United | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
| 11 | Bangor FC | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 2 |
| 12 | Portadown | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Crusaders | Dungannon Swifts |
|---|---|---|
| Limavady United | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Coleraine | 1-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Portadown | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Cliftonville | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Bangor FC | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Dungannon Swifts (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Crusaders
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier |
0-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier |
3-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Glenavon Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 11/04 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
3-0 | 4-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 07/04 | Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
Dungannon Swifts
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Linfield Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 08/08 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 12/05 | Linfield Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier |
0-3 | 0-8 | 8 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Crusaders vs Dungannon Swifts?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Crusaders win (43%). Probabilities: Crusaders 43%, draw 26%, Dungannon Swifts 31%.
How many goals are expected in Crusaders vs Dungannon Swifts?
The model expects 3.1 goals (Crusaders 1.69 · Dungannon Swifts 1.41), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Crusaders vs Dungannon Swifts?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.