Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 17/10, 16:00

Prediction: Bangor FC vs Dungannon Swifts

Team pages: Bangor FC · Dungannon Swifts

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.7Total

Bangor FC1.4

Dungannon Swifts1.31

1X2

38% 28% 34%

Bangor FC Draw Dungannon Swifts

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Bangor FC 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLDLDLWLLL

Dungannon Swifts 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLLDLL

Head-to-head

Bangor FC 2–3 Dungannon Swifts (5 last)

Dungannon Swifts2-0Bangor FC
Dungannon Swifts0-1Bangor FC
Dungannon Swifts1-0Bangor FC
Bangor FC2-1Dungannon Swifts
Bangor FC0-2Dungannon Swifts

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dungannon Swifts (rating 1422 vs 1464).
H2H favours Dungannon Swifts: 3-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bangor FC	Dungannon Swifts
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.1	1.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4	2.2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.4	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.91

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:20

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.92 → 3.92	Pinn 3.92
X	4.11 → 4.11	Pinn 4.11
2	1.75 → 1.75	Pinn 1.75

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	X	2
22:05 +195’	3.92	4.11	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bangor FC 2–0–3 Dungannon Swifts

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/08/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Dungannon Swifts	2-0 HT 1-0	Bangor FC
21/03/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Dungannon Swifts	0-1 HT 0-1	Bangor FC
26/12/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Dungannon Swifts	1-0 HT 1-0	Bangor FC
30/08/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Bangor FC	2-1 HT 1-1	Dungannon Swifts
29/03/25 Northern Ireland Cup	Bangor FC	0-2 HT 0-1	Dungannon Swifts

Standings · Northern Ireland Premier

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Coleraine	11	9	1	1	23	10	28
2	Linfield	10	8	1	1	14	6	25
3	Larne FC	7	6	1	0	15	3	19
4	Glentoran	11	5	2	4	15	10	17
5	Carrick Rangers	11	5	1	5	19	17	16
6	Crusaders	11	5	0	6	15	21	15
7	Dungannon Swifts	10	4	1	5	11	14	13
8	Ballymena Utd	10	3	3	4	15	14	12
9	Cliftonville	11	4	0	7	12	13	12
10	Limavady United	10	4	0	6	11	16	12
11	Portadown	11	1	2	8	8	20	5
12	Bangor FC	11	1	2	8	10	24	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bangor FC	Dungannon Swifts
Linfield	0-2 L	0-1 L
Coleraine	2-3 L	1-3 L
Crusaders	1-2 L	0-3 L
Portadown	3-1 W	1-0 W
Limavady United	1-3 L	2-0 W
Glentoran	1-1 D	0-2 L
Ballymena Utd	2-2 D	1-1 D
Carrick Rangers	0-4 L	2-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 5 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Bangor FC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bangor FC

LLDLDLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Linfield Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-2	2	4	L
04/10	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	1-2	2-3	6	1	L
26/09	Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	1-2	4	6	L
19/09	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	3-1	6	5	W
15/09	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	0-3	1-3	2	2	L
12/09	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	1-1	6	1	D
08/09	Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
05/09	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	0-2	2-2	4	4	D
29/08	Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	0-4	5	3	L
22/08	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	0-2	–	–	L

Dungannon Swifts

LWWWWLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier	1-3	2-4	3	5	L
03/10	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	0-2	6	5	L
19/09	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	1-1	1-1	8	2	D
15/09	Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-3	5	6	L
12/09	Linfield Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
05/09	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	2-0	8	4	W
29/08	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
22/08	Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
15/08	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
08/08	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	1-3	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bangor FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bangor FC win (38%). Probabilities: Bangor FC 38%, draw 28%, Dungannon Swifts 34%.

How many goals are expected in Bangor FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

The model expects 2.7 goals (Bangor FC 1.4 · Dungannon Swifts 1.31), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Bangor FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.