Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 20/10, 20:45

Prediction: Larne FC vs Linfield

Team pages: Larne FC · Linfield

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.09Total

Larne FC1.27

Linfield0.82

1X2

46% 32% 23%

Larne FC Draw Linfield

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Larne FC 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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Linfield 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Larne FC 2–3–1 Linfield (6 last)

Linfield0-2Larne FC
Larne FC1-1Linfield
Linfield0-0Larne FC
Larne FC0-0Linfield
Larne FC2-1Linfield
Linfield1-0Larne FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Larne FC: 2-3-1.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Larne FC	Linfield
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 0.6	1.6 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.2	0.7 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/40/0%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 4.6	2.8 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.3	3.5 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.79

Under 2.252.01

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 19:49

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.01 → 1.96▼	Pinn 1.96
X	3.39 → 3.50▲	Pinn 3.50
2	3.65 → 3.66▲	Pinn 3.66

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
17:16 +70’	2.01	3.39	3.65
23:03 +14’	1.99▼	3.40▲	3.68▲
19:12 +37’	1.96▼	3.50▲	3.66▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Larne FC 2–3–1 Linfield

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Linfield	0-2 HT 0-1	Larne FC
24/02/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Larne FC	1-1 HT 1-0	Linfield
16/01/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Linfield	0-0 HT 0-0	Larne FC
05/12/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Larne FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Linfield
18/04/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Larne FC	2-1 HT 0-1	Linfield
11/02/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Linfield	1-0 HT 0-0	Larne FC

Standings · Northern Ireland Premier

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Coleraine	12	10	1	1	26	12	31
2	Linfield	11	8	2	1	16	8	26
3	Glentoran	12	6	2	4	16	10	20
4	Larne FC	8	6	1	1	17	6	19
5	Carrick Rangers	12	5	2	5	21	19	17
6	Ballymena Utd	11	4	3	4	17	15	15
7	Crusaders	12	5	0	7	16	23	15
8	Dungannon Swifts	11	4	2	5	11	14	14
9	Cliftonville	12	4	0	8	13	15	12
10	Limavady United	11	4	0	7	11	17	12
11	Portadown	12	2	2	8	10	21	8
12	Bangor FC	12	1	3	8	10	24	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Larne FC	Linfield
Coleraine	2-3 L	3-1 W
Crusaders	3-0 W	1-0 W
Carrick Rangers	5-2 W	2-2 D
Cliftonville	2-0 W	1-0 W
Portadown	2-0 W	1-1 D
Bangor FC	1-0 W	2-0 W
Glentoran	2-1 W	2-1 W
Dungannon Swifts	8-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 1 L	6 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Larne FC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Larne FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	2-3	3	6	L
10/10	Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	3-0	6	1	W
19/09	Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier	3-2	5-2	4	4	W
15/09	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	2-0	7	2	W
12/09	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
08/09	Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
04/09	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	2-1	4	4	W
15/08	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
25/04	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	3-0	8-0	5	2	W
17/04	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-0	4	4	D

Linfield

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier	2-1	2-2	9	1	D
10/10	Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	2-0	3	4	W
25/09	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	3-1	4	5	W
19/09	Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
15/09	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	1-1	6	2	D
12/09	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
05/09	Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-0	9	6	W
29/08	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	2-0	7	4	W
21/08	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
15/08	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	2-1	6	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Larne FC vs Linfield?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Larne FC win (46%). Probabilities: Larne FC 46%, draw 32%, Linfield 23%.

How many goals are expected in Larne FC vs Linfield?

The model expects 2.09 goals (Larne FC 1.27 · Linfield 0.82), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Larne FC vs Linfield?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.