Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: Carrick Rangers vs Glentoran

Team pages: Carrick Rangers · Glentoran

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.2Total

Carrick Rangers1.53

Glentoran1.67

1X2

34% 25% 40%

Carrick Rangers Draw Glentoran

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Carrick Rangers 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLDLLWWDDL

Glentoran 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLDLWWWDWD

Head-to-head

Carrick Rangers 0–3–3 Glentoran (6 last)

Glentoran2-0Carrick Rangers
Glentoran1-0Carrick Rangers
Carrick Rangers0-7Glentoran
Carrick Rangers2-2Glentoran
Glentoran1-1Carrick Rangers
Carrick Rangers0-0Glentoran

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Glentoran (rating 1460 vs 1536).
H2H favours Glentoran: 3-3-0.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Carrick Rangers	Glentoran
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.4	1.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.4	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.6	2.4 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.4	3.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.84

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:28

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.94 → 2.94	Pinn 2.94
X	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 3.90
2	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
23:18 +70’	2.94	3.90	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Carrick Rangers 0–3–3 Glentoran

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/09/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Glentoran	2-0 HT 2-0	Carrick Rangers
03/03/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Glentoran	1-0 HT 0-0	Carrick Rangers
03/01/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Carrick Rangers	0-7 HT 0-4	Glentoran
14/10/25 Northern Ireland County Antrim Shield	Carrick Rangers	2-2 HT 1-0	Glentoran
30/08/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Glentoran	1-1 HT 1-1	Carrick Rangers
15/03/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Carrick Rangers	0-0 HT 0-0	Glentoran

Standings · Northern Ireland Premier

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Coleraine	14	11	2	1	32	13	35
2	Linfield	14	10	3	1	21	11	33
3	Larne FC	12	8	2	2	22	10	26
4	Glentoran	13	6	3	4	17	11	21
5	Cliftonville	14	6	0	8	23	17	18
6	Carrick Rangers	14	5	3	6	23	27	18
7	Crusaders	14	6	0	8	20	29	18
8	Ballymena Utd	12	4	3	5	17	16	15
9	Dungannon Swifts	13	4	3	6	13	18	15
10	Limavady United	14	4	2	8	14	23	14
11	Bangor FC	14	2	3	9	12	26	9
12	Portadown	14	2	2	10	11	24	8

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Carrick Rangers	Glentoran
Cliftonville	1-7 L	2-1 W
Limavady United	1-1 D	1-0 W
Dungannon Swifts	4-2 W	2-0 W
Crusaders	4-0 W	1-2 L
Larne FC	2-5 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Glentoran (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Carrick Rangers

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	1-4	1-7	3	2	L
24/10	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
17/10	Linfield Northern Ireland Premier	1-2	2-2	4	1	D
10/10	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	3-1	4-2	8	5	W
03/10	Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	4-0	8	3	W
26/09	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	0-2	0-2	4	5	L
19/09	Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier	2-3	2-5	11	4	L
15/09	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-1	2	7	D
12/09	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	1-2	1-3	8	5	L
05/09	Linfield Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-1	2	6	L

Glentoran

LLDLWWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	1-1	3	1	D
17/10	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-0	9	4	W
09/10	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
03/10	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
26/09	Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	2-0	2	5	W
19/09	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	1-1	2-1	12	5	W
15/09	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-2	7	6	L
12/09	Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	1-1	12	1	D
04/09	Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-2	3	4	L
29/08	Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	1-2	5	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carrick Rangers vs Glentoran?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Glentoran win (40%). Probabilities: Carrick Rangers 34%, draw 25%, Glentoran 40%.

How many goals are expected in Carrick Rangers vs Glentoran?

The model expects 3.2 goals (Carrick Rangers 1.53 · Glentoran 1.67), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Carrick Rangers vs Glentoran?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.