Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: Portadown vs Ballymena Utd

Team pages: Portadown · Ballymena Utd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.62Total

Portadown1.35

Ballymena Utd1.27

1X2

37% 29% 34%

Portadown Draw Ballymena Utd

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Portadown 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Ballymena Utd 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Portadown 3–1–2 Ballymena Utd (6 last)

Ballymena Utd2-0Portadown
Ballymena Utd1-2Portadown
Ballymena Utd1-1Portadown
Portadown1-0Ballymena Utd
Portadown0-2Ballymena Utd
Portadown2-1Ballymena Utd

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ballymena Utd (rating 1455 vs 1498).
H2H favours Portadown: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Portadown	Ballymena Utd
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.6	1.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.9	2.3 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.4	3.6 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.78

Under 2.752.02

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:28

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.86 → 2.86	Pinn 2.86
X	3.80 → 3.80	Pinn 3.80
2	2.23 → 2.23	Pinn 2.23

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
23:19 +70’	2.86	3.80	2.23

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Portadown 3–1–2 Ballymena Utd

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/09/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Ballymena Utd	2-0 HT 0-0	Portadown
18/04/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Ballymena Utd	1-2 HT 0-1	Portadown
07/03/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Ballymena Utd	1-1 HT 0-0	Portadown
13/12/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Portadown	1-0 HT 0-0	Ballymena Utd
19/08/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Portadown	0-2 HT 0-0	Ballymena Utd
26/04/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Portadown	2-1 HT 2-1	Ballymena Utd

Standings · Northern Ireland Premier

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Coleraine	14	11	2	1	32	13	35
2	Linfield	14	10	3	1	21	11	33
3	Larne FC	12	8	2	2	22	10	26
4	Glentoran	13	6	3	4	17	11	21
5	Cliftonville	14	6	0	8	23	17	18
6	Carrick Rangers	14	5	3	6	23	27	18
7	Crusaders	14	6	0	8	20	29	18
8	Ballymena Utd	12	4	3	5	17	16	15
9	Dungannon Swifts	13	4	3	6	13	18	15
10	Limavady United	14	4	2	8	14	23	14
11	Bangor FC	14	2	3	9	12	26	9
12	Portadown	14	2	2	10	11	24	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Portadown	Ballymena Utd
Cliftonville	2-1 W	1-0 W
Glentoran	0-0 D	0-2 L
Limavady United	3-1 W	2-3 L
Bangor FC	1-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Portadown (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Portadown

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-1	1	7	L
23/10	Linfield Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-2	4	3	L
17/10	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	2-1	1	3	W
09/10	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
03/10	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	1-1	3-1	5	7	W
26/09	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-2	3	2	L
19/09	Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	1-3	1	5	L
15/09	Linfield Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	1-1	6	2	D
12/09	Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
05/09	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	0-2	1-3	7	4	L

Ballymena Utd

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-1	1	0	L
17/10	Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier	1-1	2-1	5	6	W
10/10	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	2-1	2-3	6	4	L
03/10	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-0	3	9	W
26/09	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	2-0	2	2	W
19/09	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
15/09	Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-1	7	7	D
11/09	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	0-2	2-3	2	3	L
05/09	Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	2-2	4	4	D
21/08	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-2	5	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Portadown vs Ballymena Utd?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Portadown win (37%). Probabilities: Portadown 37%, draw 29%, Ballymena Utd 34%.

How many goals are expected in Portadown vs Ballymena Utd?

The model expects 2.62 goals (Portadown 1.35 · Ballymena Utd 1.27), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Portadown vs Ballymena Utd?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.