Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 06/11, 20:45

Prediction: Cliftonville vs Larne FC

Team pages: Cliftonville · Larne FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.54Total

Cliftonville1.22

Larne FC1.32

1X2

33% 29% 38%

Cliftonville Draw Larne FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Cliftonville 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Larne FC 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Cliftonville 0–3–3 Larne FC (6 last)

Larne FC2-0Cliftonville
Larne FC2-0Cliftonville
Larne FC0-0Cliftonville
Cliftonville0-2Larne FC
Cliftonville1-1Larne FC
Larne FC0-0Cliftonville

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Larne FC (rating 1501 vs 1570).
H2H favours Larne FC: 3-3-0.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cliftonville	Larne FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.3	2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.7	2.3 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.2	3.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.81

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:56

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	5.02 → 5.02	Pinn 5.02
X	3.70 → 3.70	Pinn 3.70
2	1.68 → 1.68	Pinn 1.68

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
20:14 +43’	5.02	3.70	1.68

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cliftonville 0–3–3 Larne FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/09/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Larne FC	2-0 HT 2-0	Cliftonville
28/03/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Larne FC	2-0 HT 1-0	Cliftonville
30/12/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Larne FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Cliftonville
18/10/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Cliftonville	0-2 HT 0-2	Larne FC
19/08/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Cliftonville	1-1 HT 0-1	Larne FC
14/01/25 Northern Ireland League Cup	Larne FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Cliftonville

Standings · Northern Ireland Premier

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Coleraine	14	11	2	1	32	13	35
2	Linfield	14	10	3	1	21	11	33
3	Larne FC	12	8	2	2	22	10	26
4	Glentoran	13	6	3	4	17	11	21
5	Cliftonville	14	6	0	8	23	17	18
6	Carrick Rangers	14	5	3	6	23	27	18
7	Crusaders	14	6	0	8	20	29	18
8	Ballymena Utd	12	4	3	5	17	16	15
9	Dungannon Swifts	13	4	3	6	13	18	15
10	Limavady United	14	4	2	8	14	23	14
11	Bangor FC	14	2	3	9	12	26	9
12	Portadown	14	2	2	10	11	24	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cliftonville	Larne FC
Carrick Rangers	7-1 W	5-2 W
Portadown	1-2 L	1-0 W
Coleraine	0-1 L	2-3 L
Limavady United	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Larne FC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cliftonville

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier	4-1	7-1	2	2	W
24/10	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	3-1	8	1	W
17/10	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	1-2	15	3	L
10/10	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
03/10	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-1	4	9	L
26/09	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	0-1	7	1	L
19/09	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	1-1	1-2	5	5	L
15/09	Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-2	0-2	4	2	L
12/09	Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier	2-1	3-1	3	5	W
05/09	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	3-1	5	4	W

Larne FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-0	6	7	W
27/10	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-1	9	2	D
24/10	Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	2-1	6	1	W
20/10	Linfield Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	1-2	7	7	L
16/10	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	2-3	3	6	L
10/10	Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	3-0	6	1	W
19/09	Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier	3-2	5-2	4	4	W
15/09	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	2-0	7	2	W
12/09	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
08/09	Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-0	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cliftonville vs Larne FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Larne FC win (38%). Probabilities: Cliftonville 33%, draw 29%, Larne FC 38%.

How many goals are expected in Cliftonville vs Larne FC?

The model expects 2.54 goals (Cliftonville 1.22 · Larne FC 1.32), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Cliftonville vs Larne FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.