Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 15/09, 20:45
Prediction: Ballymena Utd vs Carrick Rangers
Team pages: Ballymena Utd · Carrick Rangers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.22Total
Ballymena Utd1.9
Carrick Rangers1.32
1X2
Ballymena Utd
Draw
Carrick Rangers
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Ballymena Utd
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Carrick Rangers
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ballymena Utd
4–2–0
Carrick Rangers
(6 last)
- Carrick Rangers0-3Ballymena Utd
- Carrick Rangers2-3Ballymena Utd
- Ballymena Utd2-1Carrick Rangers
- Ballymena Utd1-1Carrick Rangers
- Carrick Rangers1-2Ballymena Utd
- Ballymena Utd1-1Carrick Rangers
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Ballymena Utd: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ballymena Utd | Carrick Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.7 | 1.7 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.6 | 2.1 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ballymena Utd 4–2–0 Carrick Rangers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/26 UK Friendlies | Carrick Rangers | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Ballymena Utd |
| 11/04/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Carrick Rangers | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Ballymena Utd |
| 14/03/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Ballymena Utd | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Carrick Rangers |
| 20/12/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Ballymena Utd | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Carrick Rangers |
| 04/10/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Carrick Rangers | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Ballymena Utd |
| 12/04/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Ballymena Utd | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Carrick Rangers |
Standings · Northern Ireland Premier
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coleraine | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 16 |
| 2 | Linfield | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Cliftonville | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Dungannon Swifts | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Larne FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Carrick Rangers | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 7 | Crusaders | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 9 |
| 8 | Glentoran | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
| 9 | Ballymena Utd | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 4 |
| 10 | Limavady United | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
| 11 | Bangor FC | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 2 |
| 12 | Portadown | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ballymena Utd | Carrick Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Coleraine | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Bangor FC | 2-2 D | 4-0 W |
| Linfield | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Portadown | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Glenavon | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Carrick Rangers (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ballymena Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier |
0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 21/08 | Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Linfield Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier |
1-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 15/04 | Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 11/04 | Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 07/04 | Glenavon Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
Carrick Rangers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Linfield Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 06/05 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Glenavon Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 11/04 | Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ballymena Utd vs Carrick Rangers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ballymena Utd win (50%). Probabilities: Ballymena Utd 50%, draw 24%, Carrick Rangers 25%.
How many goals are expected in Ballymena Utd vs Carrick Rangers?
The model expects 3.22 goals (Ballymena Utd 1.9 · Carrick Rangers 1.32), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Ballymena Utd vs Carrick Rangers?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.