Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 17/10, 16:00

Prediction: Ballymena Utd vs Crusaders

Team pages: Ballymena Utd · Crusaders

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

Ballymena Utd1.93

Crusaders1.36

1X2

50% 24% 26%

Ballymena Utd Draw Crusaders

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Ballymena Utd 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLLDLDDWWL

Crusaders 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWWLLWLWLL

Head-to-head

Ballymena Utd 1–2–3 Crusaders (6 last)

Crusaders2-1Ballymena Utd
Crusaders3-2Ballymena Utd
Ballymena Utd2-0Crusaders
Ballymena Utd2-2Crusaders
Crusaders1-1Ballymena Utd
Crusaders3-1Ballymena Utd

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Crusaders: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ballymena Utd	Crusaders
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.4	1.4 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.3	2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.5	3.2 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.83

Under 2.751.96

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:20

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.62 → 1.62	Pinn 1.62
X	4.16 → 4.16	Pinn 4.16
2	4.62 → 4.62	Pinn 4.62

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.4%

Time*	1	X	2
21:04 +255’	1.62	4.16	4.62

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ballymena Utd 1–2–3 Crusaders

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/08/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Crusaders	2-1 HT 2-1	Ballymena Utd
25/04/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Crusaders	3-2 HT 3-1	Ballymena Utd
17/02/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Ballymena Utd	2-0 HT 0-0	Crusaders
22/11/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Ballymena Utd	2-2 HT 1-2	Crusaders
20/09/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Crusaders	1-1 HT 0-0	Ballymena Utd
15/02/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Crusaders	3-1 HT 2-1	Ballymena Utd

Standings · Northern Ireland Premier

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Coleraine	11	9	1	1	23	10	28
2	Linfield	10	8	1	1	14	6	25
3	Larne FC	7	6	1	0	15	3	19
4	Glentoran	11	5	2	4	15	10	17
5	Carrick Rangers	11	5	1	5	19	17	16
6	Crusaders	11	5	0	6	15	21	15
7	Dungannon Swifts	10	4	1	5	11	14	13
8	Ballymena Utd	10	3	3	4	15	14	12
9	Cliftonville	11	4	0	7	12	13	12
10	Limavady United	10	4	0	6	11	16	12
11	Portadown	11	1	2	8	8	20	5
12	Bangor FC	11	1	2	8	10	24	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ballymena Utd	Crusaders
Limavady United	2-3 L	1-2 L
Portadown	2-0 W	3-2 W
Dungannon Swifts	1-1 D	3-0 W
Carrick Rangers	1-1 D	0-4 L
Coleraine	2-3 L	1-4 L
Bangor FC	2-2 D	2-1 W
Glentoran	0-2 L	2-1 W
Linfield	3-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Ballymena Utd (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ballymena Utd

WLLDLDDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	2-1	2-3	6	4	L
03/10	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-0	3	9	W
26/09	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	2-0	2	2	W
19/09	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
15/09	Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-1	7	7	D
11/09	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	0-2	2-3	2	3	L
05/09	Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	2-2	4	4	D
21/08	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-2	5	4	L
15/08	Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier	1-2	1-2	7	4	L
08/08	Linfield Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	3-0	3	0	W

Crusaders

WWWLLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	0-3	2	1	L
03/10	Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	0-4	8	3	L
26/09	Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
19/09	Linfield Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
15/09	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	3-0	7	6	W
12/09	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
05/09	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	0-3	1-4	1	2	L
29/08	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	2-1	4	5	W
22/08	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	3-2	3	3	W
15/08	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	2-1	2-1	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ballymena Utd vs Crusaders?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ballymena Utd win (50%). Probabilities: Ballymena Utd 50%, draw 24%, Crusaders 26%.

How many goals are expected in Ballymena Utd vs Crusaders?

The model expects 3.29 goals (Ballymena Utd 1.93 · Crusaders 1.36), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Ballymena Utd vs Crusaders?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.