Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 17/10, 16:00

Prediction: Carrick Rangers vs Linfield

Team pages: Carrick Rangers · Linfield

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.67Total

Carrick Rangers1.32

Linfield1.35

1X2

35% 28% 37%

Carrick Rangers Draw Linfield

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Carrick Rangers 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Linfield 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Carrick Rangers 1–1–4 Linfield (6 last)

Linfield1-0Carrick Rangers
Carrick Rangers2-0Linfield
Carrick Rangers0-0Linfield
Linfield3-1Carrick Rangers
Linfield3-0Carrick Rangers
Carrick Rangers1-3Linfield

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Linfield (rating 1501 vs 1561).
H2H favours Linfield: 4-1-1.
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Carrick Rangers	Linfield
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.7	1.4 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6.2	2.7 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.4	3.4 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.96

Under 2.751.83

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:20

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.71 → 3.71	Pinn 3.71
X	3.74 → 3.74	Pinn 3.74
2	1.88 → 1.88	Pinn 1.88

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7%

Time*	1	X	2
17:16 +483’	3.71	3.74	1.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Carrick Rangers 1–1–4 Linfield

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/09/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Linfield	1-0 HT 0-0	Carrick Rangers
20/03/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Carrick Rangers	2-0 HT 1-0	Linfield
13/01/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Carrick Rangers	0-0 HT 0-0	Linfield
29/11/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Linfield	3-1 HT 1-0	Carrick Rangers
11/01/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Linfield	3-0 HT 0-0	Carrick Rangers
03/11/24 Northern Ireland Premier	Carrick Rangers	1-3 HT 1-0	Linfield

Standings · Northern Ireland Premier

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Coleraine	11	9	1	1	23	10	28
2	Linfield	10	8	1	1	14	6	25
3	Larne FC	7	6	1	0	15	3	19
4	Glentoran	11	5	2	4	15	10	17
5	Carrick Rangers	11	5	1	5	19	17	16
6	Crusaders	11	5	0	6	15	21	15
7	Dungannon Swifts	10	4	1	5	11	14	13
8	Ballymena Utd	10	3	3	4	15	14	12
9	Cliftonville	11	4	0	7	12	13	12
10	Limavady United	10	4	0	6	11	16	12
11	Portadown	11	1	2	8	8	20	5
12	Bangor FC	11	1	2	8	10	24	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Carrick Rangers	Linfield
Dungannon Swifts	4-2 W	1-0 W
Crusaders	4-0 W	1-0 W
Glentoran	0-2 L	2-1 W
Ballymena Utd	1-1 D	0-3 L
Cliftonville	1-3 L	1-0 W
Bangor FC	4-0 W	2-0 W
Coleraine	0-2 L	3-1 W
Limavady United	2-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	7 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Carrick Rangers

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	3-1	4-2	8	5	W
03/10	Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	4-0	8	3	W
26/09	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	0-2	0-2	4	5	L
19/09	Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier	2-3	2-5	11	4	L
15/09	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-1	2	7	D
12/09	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	1-2	1-3	8	5	L
05/09	Linfield Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
29/08	Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	4-0	4	3	W
22/08	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-2	9	4	L
15/08	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	2-1	–	–	W

Linfield

LWWWWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	2-0	3	4	W
25/09	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	3-1	4	5	W
19/09	Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
15/09	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	1-1	6	2	D
12/09	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
05/09	Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-0	9	6	W
29/08	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	2-0	7	4	W
21/08	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
15/08	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	2-1	6	7	W
08/08	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	0-3	7	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carrick Rangers vs Linfield?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Linfield win (37%). Probabilities: Carrick Rangers 35%, draw 28%, Linfield 37%.

How many goals are expected in Carrick Rangers vs Linfield?

The model expects 2.67 goals (Carrick Rangers 1.32 · Linfield 1.35), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Carrick Rangers vs Linfield?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.