Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 17/10, 19:00
Prediction: Cliftonville vs Portadown
Team pages: Cliftonville · Portadown
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.79Total
Cliftonville1.8
Portadown0.98
1X2
Cliftonville
Draw
Portadown
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Cliftonville
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Portadown
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cliftonville
3–1–2
Portadown
(6 last)
- Cliftonville3-1Portadown
- Portadown0-2Cliftonville
- Portadown2-3Cliftonville
- Cliftonville1-2Portadown
- Portadown2-0Cliftonville
- Cliftonville2-2Portadown
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cliftonville (rating 1476 vs 1408).
- H2H favours Cliftonville: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cliftonville | Portadown | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.1 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 0/30/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.5 | 2 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 3.3 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cliftonville 3–1–2 Portadown
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Cliftonville | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Portadown |
| 04/03/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Portadown | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Cliftonville |
| 29/11/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Portadown | 2-3 HT 1-0 | Cliftonville |
| 27/09/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Cliftonville | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Portadown |
| 19/04/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Portadown | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Cliftonville |
| 09/02/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Cliftonville | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Portadown |
Standings · Northern Ireland Premier
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coleraine | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Linfield | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 25 |
| 3 | Larne FC | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Glentoran | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 17 |
| 5 | Carrick Rangers | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 16 |
| 6 | Crusaders | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 15 |
| 7 | Dungannon Swifts | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 13 |
| 8 | Ballymena Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 12 |
| 9 | Cliftonville | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 12 |
| 10 | Limavady United | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 12 |
| 11 | Portadown | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 5 |
| 12 | Bangor FC | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 5 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cliftonville | Portadown |
|---|---|---|
| Coleraine | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Ballymena Utd | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Limavady United | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Glentoran | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Larne FC | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Dungannon Swifts | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Linfield | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Bangor FC | 3-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 7 L | 1 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Portadown (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cliftonville
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 03/10 | Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 26/09 | Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 19/09 | Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 15/09 | Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 21/08 | Linfield Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Portadown
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 03/10 | Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 26/09 | Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 15/09 | Linfield Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 28/08 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier |
0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cliftonville vs Portadown?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cliftonville win (56%). Probabilities: Cliftonville 56%, draw 25%, Portadown 19%.
How many goals are expected in Cliftonville vs Portadown?
The model expects 2.79 goals (Cliftonville 1.8 · Portadown 0.98), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Cliftonville vs Portadown?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.