Football · Belgium First Division A · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht

Team pages: Cercle Brugge · Anderlecht

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.18Total

Cercle Brugge1.36

Anderlecht1.83

1X2

27% 26% 47%

Cercle Brugge Draw Anderlecht

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Cercle Brugge 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

WLLDDLLLDL

Anderlecht 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWLWLLWDWW

Head-to-head

Cercle Brugge 1–1–4 Anderlecht (6 last)

Anderlecht2-3Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge0-2Anderlecht
Anderlecht3-0Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge0-5Anderlecht
Cercle Brugge1-1Anderlecht
Anderlecht3-0Cercle Brugge

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cercle Brugge 1428 · Anderlecht 1534

	Cercle Brugge	Draw	Anderlecht
Our model	28%	25%	48%
Market	27%	26%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anderlecht (rating 1428 vs 1534).
H2H favours Anderlecht: 4-1-1.
High corners: 13.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cercle Brugge	Anderlecht
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.2	1.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 7.3	2.4 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.50

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.80

2 (-0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.57
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.78 ★
2	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 1.97

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3% Pinnacle margin 5.2%

Time*	1	X	2
02:34 +11’	3.40	3.50	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:05 +640’	3.57	3.78	1.97

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cercle Brugge 1–1–4 Anderlecht

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Belgium First Division A	Anderlecht	2-3 HT 1-3	Cercle Brugge
03/08/25 Belgium First Division A	Cercle Brugge	0-2 HT 0-1	Anderlecht
16/03/25 Belgium First Division A	Anderlecht	3-0 HT 1-0	Cercle Brugge
10/11/24 Belgium First Division A	Cercle Brugge	0-5 HT 0-1	Anderlecht
28/04/24 Belgium First Division A	Cercle Brugge	1-1 HT 0-1	Anderlecht
24/04/24 Belgium First Division A	Anderlecht	3-0 HT 2-0	Cercle Brugge

Standings · Belgium First Division A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Union Saint Gilloise	7	6	1	0	21	3	19
2	Gent	7	6	1	0	13	4	19
3	Club Brugge	7	6	0	1	15	3	18
4	Charleroi	7	6	0	1	15	7	18
5	Anderlecht	7	4	1	2	7	5	13
6	Zulte-Waregem	7	3	2	2	10	7	11
7	Standard Liege	7	3	2	2	13	12	11
8	Westerlo	7	3	1	3	15	16	10
9	SK Beveren	7	3	0	4	7	11	9
10	Genk	7	2	3	2	13	12	9
11	Sint-Truidense	7	2	2	3	12	12	8
12	Lommel	7	2	2	3	6	8	8
13	Antwerp	7	2	1	4	11	15	7
14	RAAL La Louviere	7	1	1	5	7	14	4
15	OH Leuven	7	1	1	5	5	13	4
16	KV Kortrijk	7	1	0	6	2	15	3
17	Cercle Brugge	7	0	3	4	8	14	3
18	KV Mechelen	7	0	3	4	5	14	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cercle Brugge	Anderlecht
Sint-Truidense	3-3 D	3-1 W
RAAL La Louviere	1-4 L	2-1 W
Zulte-Waregem	2-3 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Anderlecht (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cercle Brugge

WLLDDLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Charleroi Belgium First Division A	1-2	2-3	2	2	L
12/09	OH Leuven Belgium First Division A	0-1	1-1	11	6	D
06/09	Gent Belgium First Division A	0-1	0-3	8	1	L
29/08	Lommel Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-1	9	5	L
23/08	Club Brugge Belgium First Division A	0-1	0-1	4	1	L
14/08	Sint-Truidense Belgium First Division A	1-2	3-3	10	3	D
08/08	Standard Liege Belgium First Division A	1-1	2-2	11	2	D
09/05	RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A	1-0	1-4	5	3	L
01/05	Zulte-Waregem Belgium First Division A	1-0	2-3	6	1	L
24/04	FCV Dender EH Belgium First Division A	1-0	2-1	7	2	W

Anderlecht

DWLWLLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Zulte-Waregem Belgium First Division A	1-0	3-0	8	3	W
11/09	KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
06/09	Genk Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
03/09	KV Kortrijk Belgium First Division A	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
30/08	Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A	0-2	0-3	3	4	L
16/08	SK Beveren Belgium First Division A	0-1	0-1	12	1	L
09/08	RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A	0-0	2-1	10	4	W
24/05	Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A	0-4	1-5	1	5	L
21/05	Sint-Truidense Belgium First Division A	2-0	3-1	8	4	W
17/05	KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A	1-1	2-2	2	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Anderlecht win (47%). Probabilities: Cercle Brugge 27%, draw 26%, Anderlecht 47%.

How many goals are expected in Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht?

The model expects 3.18 goals (Cercle Brugge 1.36 · Anderlecht 1.83), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.