Football · Belgium First Division A · 10/10, 20:45

Prediction: Zulte-Waregem vs Gent

Team pages: Zulte-Waregem · Gent

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.69Total

Zulte-Waregem1.28

Gent1.4

1X2

33% 28% 39%

Zulte-Waregem Draw Gent

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Zulte-Waregem 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Gent 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Zulte-Waregem 2–4 Gent (6 last)

Gent2-0Zulte-Waregem
Zulte-Waregem4-1Gent
Zulte-Waregem2-0Gent
Gent4-2Zulte-Waregem
Zulte-Waregem2-6Gent
Gent2-0Zulte-Waregem

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zulte-Waregem 1547 · Gent 1570

	Zulte-Waregem	Draw	Gent
Our model	33%	28%	39%
Market	33%	28%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Gent: 4-0-2.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Zulte-Waregem	Gent
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1	1.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.5	2.7 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.25

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Pinn 2.94 ★
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.35 → 2.35	Pinn 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.7% Pinnacle margin 5%

Time*	1	X	2
03:04 +13’	2.75	3.25	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:46 +390’	2.94	3.23	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Zulte-Waregem 2–0–4 Gent

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/03/26 Belgium First Division A	Gent	2-0 HT 1-0	Zulte-Waregem
19/10/25 Belgium First Division A	Zulte-Waregem	4-1 HT 3-0	Gent
20/07/24 Europe Friendlies	Zulte-Waregem	2-0 HT 1-0	Gent
19/07/23 Europe Friendlies	Gent	4-2 HT 4-1	Zulte-Waregem
12/03/23 Belgium First Division A	Zulte-Waregem	2-6 HT 0-2	Gent
11/09/22 Belgium First Division A	Gent	2-0 HT 0-0	Zulte-Waregem

Standings · Belgium First Division A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Union Saint Gilloise	7	6	1	0	21	3	19
2	Gent	7	6	1	0	13	4	19
3	Club Brugge	7	6	0	1	15	3	18
4	Charleroi	7	6	0	1	15	7	18
5	Anderlecht	7	4	1	2	7	5	13
6	Zulte-Waregem	7	3	2	2	10	7	11
7	Standard Liege	7	3	2	2	13	12	11
8	Westerlo	7	3	1	3	15	16	10
9	SK Beveren	7	3	0	4	7	11	9
10	Genk	7	2	3	2	13	12	9
11	Sint-Truidense	7	2	2	3	12	12	8
12	Lommel	7	2	2	3	6	8	8
13	Antwerp	7	2	1	4	11	15	7
14	RAAL La Louviere	7	1	1	5	7	14	4
15	OH Leuven	7	1	1	5	5	13	4
16	KV Kortrijk	7	1	0	6	2	15	3
17	Cercle Brugge	7	0	3	4	8	14	3
18	KV Mechelen	7	0	3	4	5	14	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zulte-Waregem	Gent
Union Saint Gilloise	0-0 D	0-0 D
Genk	2-1 W	1-1 D
Cercle Brugge	3-2 W	3-0 W
RAAL La Louviere	4-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Zulte-Waregem (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zulte-Waregem

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Anderlecht Belgium First Division A	0-1	0-3	1	3	L
13/09	Charleroi Belgium First Division A	0-1	0-1	9	4	L
06/09	KV Kortrijk Belgium First Division A	0-0	2-0	6	6	W
30/08	Westerlo Belgium First Division A	1-1	2-2	8	1	D
22/08	SK Beveren Belgium First Division A	2-0	4-0	1	3	W
15/08	Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
09/08	Genk Belgium First Division A	0-1	2-1	6	5	W
09/05	FCV Dender EH Belgium First Division A	2-1	2-1	9	6	W
01/05	Cercle Brugge Belgium First Division A	0-1	3-2	7	1	W
26/04	RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A	2-0	4-0	5	2	W

Gent

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Standard Liege Belgium First Division A	1-1	2-1	5	1	W
13/09	Genk Belgium First Division A	1-0	1-1	9	7	D
06/09	Cercle Brugge Belgium First Division A	1-0	3-0	0	1	W
03/09	OH Leuven Belgium First Division A	0-0	1-0	10	3	W
30/08	Club Brugge Belgium First Division A	1-1	2-1	1	9	W
16/08	RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A	1-1	2-1	3	1	W
09/08	KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A	2-0	2-0	4	1	W
31/05	Genk Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
24/05	Club Brugge Belgium First Division A	0-3	0-5	8	1	L
21/05	Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-0	8	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zulte-Waregem vs Gent?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Gent win (39%). Probabilities: Zulte-Waregem 33%, draw 28%, Gent 39%.

How many goals are expected in Zulte-Waregem vs Gent?

The model expects 2.69 goals (Zulte-Waregem 1.28 · Gent 1.4), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Zulte-Waregem vs Gent?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.