Football · Austria Bundesliga · 31/07, 19:30
Prediction: LASK Linz vs Grazer AK
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
LASK Linz1.82
Grazer AK0.99
1X2
LASK Linz
Draw
Grazer AK
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
LASK Linz
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Grazer AK
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
LASK Linz
4–1–1
Grazer AK
(6 last)
- Grazer AK1-2LASK Linz
- LASK Linz1-0Grazer AK
- Grazer AK1-0LASK Linz
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · LASK Linz 1568 · Grazer AK 1489
| LASK Linz | Draw | Grazer AK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 25% | 19% |
| Market | 56% | 25% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours LASK Linz (rating 1568 vs 1489).
- H2H favours LASK Linz: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| LASK Linz | Grazer AK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 0.8 | 1.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 5.1 | 2.4 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.4 / 0.1 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · LASK Linz 4–1–1 Grazer AK
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/25 Austria Bundesliga | Grazer AK | 1-2 HT 1-2 | LASK Linz |
| 25/10/25 Austria Bundesliga | LASK Linz | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Grazer AK |
| 17/05/25 Austria Bundesliga | Grazer AK | 1-0 HT 0-0 | LASK Linz |
| 05/04/25 Austria Bundesliga | LASK Linz | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Grazer AK |
| 16/02/25 Austria Bundesliga | Grazer AK | 0-0 HT 0-0 | LASK Linz |
| 21/09/24 Austria Bundesliga | LASK Linz | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Grazer AK |
Standings · Austria Bundesliga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austria Lustenau | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Salzburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Austria Vienna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Grazer AK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | LASK Linz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SCR Altach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rapid Vienna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SK Sturm Graz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SV Ried | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hartberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wolfsberger AC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | WSG Swarovski Tirol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
LASK Linz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | SC Kalsdorf Austria Cup |
1-0 | 7-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Fortuna Dusseldorf Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 14/07 | Fenerbahce Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 09/07 | FC Ingolstadt Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/07 | Dynamo Kiev Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | Hertha Wels Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 24/06 | SV Sedda Bad Schallerbach Club Friendly List |
4-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 04/05 | Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
Grazer AK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Cup |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | Dynamo Dresden Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | SV Kapfenberg Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 07/07 | First Vienna FC 1894 Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-4 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 24/06 | Slovan Bratislava Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 19/06 | Gyori ETO Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 16/05 | FC Blau Weiss Linz Austria Bundesliga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 02/05 | WSG Swarovski Tirol Austria Bundesliga |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in LASK Linz vs Grazer AK?
According to our model, the most likely result is a LASK Linz win (56%). Probabilities: LASK Linz 56%, draw 25%, Grazer AK 19%.
How many goals are expected in LASK Linz vs Grazer AK?
The model expects 2.81 goals (LASK Linz 1.82 · Grazer AK 0.99), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in LASK Linz vs Grazer AK?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.