Football · Austria Bundesliga · 01/08, 19:30
Prediction: FC Salzburg vs Hartberg
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
FC Salzburg2.21
Hartberg0.74
1X2
FC Salzburg
Draw
Hartberg
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
FC Salzburg
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Hartberg
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Salzburg
3–2–1
Hartberg
(6 last)
- FC Salzburg1-3Hartberg
- Hartberg1-2FC Salzburg
- FC Salzburg0-0Hartberg
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Salzburg 1523 · Hartberg 1498
| FC Salzburg | Draw | Hartberg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 20% | 10% |
| Market | 71% | 18% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.95 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FC Salzburg: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Salzburg | Hartberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.7 | 1.4 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.4 / 0 | 1.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Salzburg 3–2–1 Hartberg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Austria Bundesliga | FC Salzburg | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Hartberg |
| 05/04/26 Austria Bundesliga | Hartberg | 1-2 HT 1-0 | FC Salzburg |
| 01/03/26 Austria Bundesliga | FC Salzburg | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Hartberg |
| 16/08/25 Austria Bundesliga | Hartberg | 1-2 HT 0-1 | FC Salzburg |
| 04/12/24 Austria Bundesliga | FC Salzburg | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Hartberg |
| 30/11/24 Austria Bundesliga | Hartberg | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FC Salzburg |
Standings · Austria Bundesliga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austria Lustenau | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Salzburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Austria Vienna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Grazer AK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | LASK Linz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SCR Altach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rapid Vienna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SK Sturm Graz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SV Ried | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hartberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wolfsberger AC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | WSG Swarovski Tirol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Salzburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Oberwart Austria Cup |
3-1 | 7-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 15/07 | Istanbul Basaksehir Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 15/07 | Gamba Osaka World Club Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 09/07 | FC Kharkiv Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Gornik Zabrze Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 26/06 | Seekirchen Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 5-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Hartberg Austria Bundesliga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 13 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
Hartberg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | ASK Voitsberg Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | First Vienna FC 1894 Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 11/07 | FK Pribram Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 08/07 | FC Brno Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Ujpest Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 01/07 | SC Weiz Europe Friendlies |
2-2 | 2-3 | 16 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Admira Wacker Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga |
1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Salzburg vs Hartberg?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Salzburg win (70%). Probabilities: FC Salzburg 70%, draw 19%, Hartberg 11%.
How many goals are expected in FC Salzburg vs Hartberg?
The model expects 2.95 goals (FC Salzburg 2.21 · Hartberg 0.74), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Salzburg vs Hartberg?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.