Football · Austria Bundesliga · 02/08, 17:00

Prediction: Wolfsberger AC vs FK Austria Vienna

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.82Total

Wolfsberger AC1.52

FK Austria Vienna1.31

1X2

41% 28% 31%

Wolfsberger AC Draw FK Austria Vienna

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Wolfsberger AC 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

LWWWWDDWWW

FK Austria Vienna 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWWLWDDWWW

Head-to-head

Wolfsberger AC 2–1–3 FK Austria Vienna (6 last)

Wolfsberger AC2-1FK Austria Vienna
FK Austria Vienna0-2Wolfsberger AC
Wolfsberger AC1-2FK Austria Vienna
FK Austria Vienna0-0Wolfsberger AC
Wolfsberger AC0-1FK Austria Vienna
FK Austria Vienna3-1Wolfsberger AC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wolfsberger AC 1644 · FK Austria Vienna 1557

	Wolfsberger AC	Draw	FK Austria Vienna
Our model	41%	27%	32%
Market	41%	28%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wolfsberger AC (rating 1644 vs 1557).
H2H favours FK Austria Vienna: 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wolfsberger AC	FK Austria Vienna
Goals for / against (FT)	5 / 1	2.1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	2.5 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.5	3.1 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.6 / 0.1	1.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.30

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 1.9 · xG: 4.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.38
X	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.48 ★
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.1% Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:23 +1’	2.30	3.30	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:23 +1’	2.38	3.48	2.93

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wolfsberger AC 2–1–3 FK Austria Vienna

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/12/25 Austria Bundesliga	Wolfsberger AC	2-1 HT 2-0	FK Austria Vienna
10/08/25 Austria Bundesliga	FK Austria Vienna	0-2 HT 0-2	Wolfsberger AC
18/05/25 Austria Bundesliga	Wolfsberger AC	1-2 HT 0-0	FK Austria Vienna
06/04/25 Austria Bundesliga	FK Austria Vienna	0-0 HT 0-0	Wolfsberger AC
09/11/24 Austria Bundesliga	Wolfsberger AC	0-1 HT 0-0	FK Austria Vienna
11/08/24 Austria Bundesliga	FK Austria Vienna	3-1 HT 0-1	Wolfsberger AC

Standings · Austria Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Austria Lustenau	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Salzburg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Austria Vienna	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Grazer AK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	LASK Linz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SCR Altach	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rapid Vienna	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SK Sturm Graz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Ried	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hartberg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Wolfsberger AC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	WSG Swarovski Tirol	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Wolfsberger AC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	FC Lauterach Austria Cup	3-0	5-1	–	–	W
20/07	Atus Velden Europe Friendlies	2-0	4-0	15	2	W
17/07	SV Kapfenberg Europe Friendlies	3-0	6-1	4	1	W
13/07	Hradec Kralove Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-1	2	0	D
10/07	FC Kharkiv Europe Friendlies	2-2	3-3	3	4	D
03/07	Admira Wacker Europe Friendlies	5-2	8-2	13	1	W
30/06	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
27/06	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-0	2	0	W
20/06	WSG Radenthein Club Friendly List	8-0	18-0	–	–	W
19/05	SV Ried Austria Bundesliga Play-Offs	0-0	1-2	3	4	L

FK Austria Vienna

DWWLWDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Wiener Sportclub Austria Cup	1-0	5-0	7	2	W
23/07	FK Liepaja UEFA Conference League Qualifying	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
17/07	Paksi Europe Friendlies	1-0	4-1	3	1	W
08/07	Dunajska Streda Europe Friendlies	1-0	1-1	3	0	D
04/07	Debreceni VSC Europe Friendlies	1-1	1-1	1	2	D
26/06	Parndorf Europe Friendlies	3-0	4-0	6	2	W
17/05	LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga	0-1	0-3	8	2	L
10/05	Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
03/05	Hartberg Austria Bundesliga	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
26/04	SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga	0-0	1-1	3	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wolfsberger AC vs FK Austria Vienna?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wolfsberger AC win (41%). Probabilities: Wolfsberger AC 41%, draw 28%, FK Austria Vienna 31%.

How many goals are expected in Wolfsberger AC vs FK Austria Vienna?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Wolfsberger AC 1.52 · FK Austria Vienna 1.31), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Wolfsberger AC vs FK Austria Vienna?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.