Football · Austria Bundesliga · 10/10, 17:00

Prediction: WSG Swarovski Tirol vs SV Ried

Team pages: WSG Swarovski Tirol · SV Ried

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.18Total

WSG Swarovski Tirol1.58

SV Ried1.6

1X2

37% 26% 38%

WSG Swarovski Tirol Draw SV Ried

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

WSG Swarovski Tirol 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDLDLLWWDL

SV Ried 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLDLLWLDW

Head-to-head

WSG Swarovski Tirol 1–3–2 SV Ried (6 last)

WSG Swarovski Tirol1-0SV Ried
SV Ried2-1WSG Swarovski Tirol
WSG Swarovski Tirol1-1SV Ried
SV Ried2-0WSG Swarovski Tirol
SV Ried1-1WSG Swarovski Tirol
WSG Swarovski Tirol1-1SV Ried

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · WSG Swarovski Tirol 1530 · SV Ried 1517

	WSG Swarovski Tirol	Draw	SV Ried
Our model	37%	26%	38%
Market	37%	26%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SV Ried: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	WSG Swarovski Tirol	SV Ried
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.9	1.3 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5	1.8 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.60

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Pinn 2.69 ★
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.68
2	2.45 → 2.45	Pinn 2.46

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.6% Pinnacle margin 5%

Time*	1	X	2
02:51 +3’	2.50	3.60	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:05 +589’	2.69	3.68	2.46

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · WSG Swarovski Tirol 1–3–2 SV Ried

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Austria Bundesliga	WSG Swarovski Tirol	1-0 HT 0-0	SV Ried
14/03/26 Austria Bundesliga	SV Ried	2-1 HT 1-0	WSG Swarovski Tirol
22/02/26 Austria Bundesliga	WSG Swarovski Tirol	1-1 HT 0-1	SV Ried
04/10/25 Austria Bundesliga	SV Ried	2-0 HT 1-0	WSG Swarovski Tirol
19/01/24 Europe Friendlies	SV Ried	1-1 HT 1-1	WSG Swarovski Tirol
12/05/23 Austria Bundesliga	WSG Swarovski Tirol	1-1 HT 1-1	SV Ried

Standings · Austria Bundesliga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Rapid Vienna	7	6	0	1	21	7	18
2	FC Salzburg	7	5	2	0	18	4	17
3	LASK Linz	7	5	1	1	19	7	16
4	SK Sturm Graz	7	3	2	2	8	9	11
5	WSG Swarovski Tirol	7	2	2	3	9	12	8
6	Hartberg	7	2	2	3	10	13	8
7	SV Ried	7	2	2	3	11	12	8
8	Grazer AK	7	2	2	3	6	16	8
9	Austria Lustenau	7	2	2	3	8	11	8
10	FK Austria Vienna	7	2	1	4	7	13	7
11	Wolfsberger AC	7	1	2	4	7	13	5
12	SCR Altach	7	1	0	6	5	12	3

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	WSG Swarovski Tirol	SV Ried
Rapid Vienna	0-3 L	1-2 L
Hartberg	2-2 D	2-3 L
Austria Lustenau	4-0 W	1-1 D
FC Salzburg	0-3 L	1-1 D
SCR Altach	1-3 L	0-2 L
Wolfsberger AC	0-2 L	4-1 W
Grazer AK	0-4 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 5 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: SV Ried (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

WSG Swarovski Tirol

LDLDLLWWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-1	0-3	3	6	L
13/09	Hartberg Austria Bundesliga	0-2	2-2	14	0	D
02/09	FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
28/08	Austria Lustenau Austria Bundesliga	1-0	4-0	12	3	W
16/08	FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga	0-2	0-3	2	3	L
07/08	SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga	1-1	1-3	5	2	L
01/08	SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga	1-1	1-1	1	5	D
16/05	Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
09/05	FC Blau Weiss Linz Austria Bundesliga	1-0	1-1	2	4	D
02/05	Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga	0-2	0-4	5	3	L

SV Ried

LWLDLLWLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga	3-0	4-1	0	7	W
11/09	FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
30/08	Hartberg Austria Bundesliga	1-2	2-3	4	3	L
21/08	Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga	1-0	1-0	7	7	W
14/08	LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga	1-3	1-4	0	4	L
09/08	Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-1	1-2	3	2	L
02/08	Austria Lustenau Austria Bundesliga	1-1	1-1	9	4	D
25/05	Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-1	0-3	4	1	L
22/05	Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
16/05	SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga	0-1	0-2	4	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in WSG Swarovski Tirol vs SV Ried?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SV Ried win (38%). Probabilities: WSG Swarovski Tirol 37%, draw 26%, SV Ried 38%.

How many goals are expected in WSG Swarovski Tirol vs SV Ried?

The model expects 3.18 goals (WSG Swarovski Tirol 1.58 · SV Ried 1.6), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in WSG Swarovski Tirol vs SV Ried?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.