Football · Austria Bundesliga · 11/10, 17:00

Prediction: LASK Linz vs Rapid Vienna

Team pages: LASK Linz · Rapid Vienna

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.61Total

LASK Linz2.12

Rapid Vienna1.48

1X2

51% 23% 26%

LASK Linz Draw Rapid Vienna

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

LASK Linz 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWLD

Rapid Vienna 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWWLWW

Head-to-head

LASK Linz 4–2 Rapid Vienna (6 last)

LASK Linz3-1Rapid Vienna
Rapid Vienna4-2LASK Linz
LASK Linz3-0Rapid Vienna
Rapid Vienna0-2LASK Linz
Rapid Vienna3-0LASK Linz
LASK Linz3-1Rapid Vienna

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · LASK Linz 1612 · Rapid Vienna 1560

	LASK Linz	Draw	Rapid Vienna
Our model	51%	23%	26%
Market	51%	24%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 3.61 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours LASK Linz (rating 1612 vs 1560).
H2H favours LASK Linz: 4-0-2.
High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	LASK Linz	Rapid Vienna
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 0.9	2.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.4	1.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 6.9	2.6 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.4	2.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.90

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 4.14
2	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.94 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9% Pinnacle margin 5.3%

Time*	1	X	2
00:45 +17’	1.80	3.90	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:00 +482’	1.79	4.14	3.94

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · LASK Linz 4–0–2 Rapid Vienna

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/05/26 Austria Bundesliga	LASK Linz	3-1 HT 0-1	Rapid Vienna
22/03/26 Austria Bundesliga	Rapid Vienna	4-2 HT 2-1	LASK Linz
30/11/25 Austria Bundesliga	LASK Linz	3-0 HT 1-0	Rapid Vienna
19/10/25 Austria Bundesliga	Rapid Vienna	0-2 HT 0-2	LASK Linz
01/06/25 Austria Bundesliga Play-Offs	Rapid Vienna	3-0 HT 1-0	LASK Linz
29/05/25 Austria Bundesliga Play-Offs	LASK Linz	3-1 HT 1-1	Rapid Vienna

Standings · Austria Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Rapid Vienna	7	6	0	1	21	7	18
2	FC Salzburg	7	5	2	0	18	4	17
3	LASK Linz	7	5	1	1	19	7	16
4	SK Sturm Graz	7	3	2	2	8	9	11
5	WSG Swarovski Tirol	7	2	2	3	9	12	8
6	Hartberg	7	2	2	3	10	13	8
7	SV Ried	7	2	2	3	11	12	8
8	Grazer AK	7	2	2	3	6	16	8
9	Austria Lustenau	7	2	2	3	8	11	8
10	FK Austria Vienna	7	2	1	4	7	13	7
11	Wolfsberger AC	7	1	2	4	7	13	5
12	SCR Altach	7	1	0	6	5	12	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	LASK Linz	Rapid Vienna
SK Sturm Graz	1-2 L	3-1 W
Wolfsberger AC	3-1 W	3-0 W
SCR Altach	3-0 W	1-0 W
SV Ried	4-1 W	2-1 W
Grazer AK	3-0 W	8-0 W
FC Salzburg	2-1 W	1-5 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

LASK Linz

WWWWWWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Hartberg Austria Bundesliga	2-0	3-3	9	4	D
13/09	SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga	1-1	1-2	6	5	L
01/09	Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga	0-1	3-1	14	5	W
29/08	SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga	2-0	3-0	4	6	W
14/08	SV Ried Austria Bundesliga	3-1	4-1	6	4	W
09/08	FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-0	2-0	11	5	W
31/07	Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga	2-0	3-0	6	2	W
17/05	FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
10/05	FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga	2-0	2-1	4	2	W
04/05	Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-1	3-1	4	1	W

Rapid Vienna

LLWWWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	WSG Swarovski Tirol Austria Bundesliga	1-0	3-0	6	6	W
12/09	Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga	2-0	3-0	6	6	W
02/09	FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga	0-3	1-5	6	1	L
30/08	SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga	2-1	3-1	6	6	W
16/08	Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga	5-0	8-0	8	4	W
09/08	SV Ried Austria Bundesliga	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
02/08	SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
25/05	SV Ried Austria Bundesliga	1-0	3-0	7	1	W
22/05	SV Ried Austria Bundesliga	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
17/05	SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga	0-0	0-2	3	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in LASK Linz vs Rapid Vienna?

According to our model, the most likely result is a LASK Linz win (51%). Probabilities: LASK Linz 51%, draw 23%, Rapid Vienna 26%.

How many goals are expected in LASK Linz vs Rapid Vienna?

The model expects 3.61 goals (LASK Linz 2.12 · Rapid Vienna 1.48), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in LASK Linz vs Rapid Vienna?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.