Football · Austria Bundesliga · 02/08, 17:00
Prediction: Austria Lustenau vs SV Ried
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.03Total
Austria Lustenau1.02
SV Ried1.02
1X2
Austria Lustenau
Draw
SV Ried
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Austria Lustenau
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
SV Ried
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Austria Lustenau
0–5–1
SV Ried
(6 last)
- SV Ried1-1Austria Lustenau
- Austria Lustenau1-1SV Ried
- Austria Lustenau2-2SV Ried
- SV Ried4-4Austria Lustenau
- Austria Lustenau0-0SV Ried
- SV Ried1-0Austria Lustenau
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Austria Lustenau 1551 · SV Ried 1511
| Austria Lustenau | Draw | SV Ried | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Market | 37% | 27% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.03 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Austria Lustenau (rating 1551 vs 1511).
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Austria Lustenau | SV Ried | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.6 | 1.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/56/11% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.3 | 2.1 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 2.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Austria Lustenau 0–5–1 SV Ried
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/25 Austria 2. Liga | SV Ried | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Austria Lustenau |
| 18/10/24 Austria 2. Liga | Austria Lustenau | 1-1 HT 1-1 | SV Ried |
| 06/05/23 Austria Bundesliga | Austria Lustenau | 2-2 HT 1-0 | SV Ried |
| 29/04/23 Austria Bundesliga | SV Ried | 4-4 HT 1-3 | Austria Lustenau |
| 23/10/22 Austria Bundesliga | Austria Lustenau | 0-0 HT 0-0 | SV Ried |
| 30/07/22 Austria Bundesliga | SV Ried | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Austria Lustenau |
Standings · Austria Bundesliga
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austria Lustenau | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Salzburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Austria Vienna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Grazer AK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | LASK Linz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SCR Altach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rapid Vienna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SK Sturm Graz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SV Ried | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hartberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wolfsberger AC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | WSG Swarovski Tirol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Austria Lustenau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Kremser SC Austria Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 16/07 | Nurnberg II Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 15/07 | SW Bregenz Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 10/07 | Aarau Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | St Gallen Club Friendly List |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | FC Vaduz Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 01/07 | Young Boys Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 26/06 | Wil 1900 Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 14/05 | SKU Amstetten Austria 2. Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 08/05 | SV Austria Salzburg Austria 2. Liga |
0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | D |
SV Ried
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | FC Dornbirn 1913 Austria Cup |
2-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 17/07 | Rot-Weiss Essen Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/07 | Jahn Regensburg Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 26/06 | SV Austria Salzburg Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 25/05 | Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 22/05 | Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 19/05 | Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga Play-Offs |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | FC Blau Weiss Linz Austria Bundesliga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Austria Lustenau vs SV Ried?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Austria Lustenau win (35%). Probabilities: Austria Lustenau 35%, draw 30%, SV Ried 35%.
How many goals are expected in Austria Lustenau vs SV Ried?
The model expects 2.03 goals (Austria Lustenau 1.02 · SV Ried 1.02), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Austria Lustenau vs SV Ried?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.