Football · Montenegro Prva Liga · 03/09, 20:00
Prediction: FK Mornar Bar vs FK Bokelj
Team pages: FK Mornar Bar · FK Bokelj
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.75Total
FK Mornar Bar1.21
FK Bokelj0.54
1X2
FK Mornar Bar
Draw
FK Bokelj
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
1-0 20%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Mornar Bar
4-6-0 (W-D-L)
FK Bokelj
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Mornar Bar
4–2–0
FK Bokelj
(6 last)
- FK Mornar Bar0-0FK Bokelj
- FK Bokelj1-2FK Mornar Bar
- FK Mornar Bar0-0FK Bokelj
- FK Bokelj1-2FK Mornar Bar
- FK Mornar Bar4-1FK Bokelj
- FK Bokelj0-2FK Mornar Bar
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Mornar Bar 1559 · FK Bokelj 1531
| FK Mornar Bar | Draw | FK Bokelj | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 33% | 15% |
| Market | 54% | 28% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FK Mornar Bar: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Mornar Bar | FK Bokelj | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 5.3 | 2.3 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Mornar Bar 4–2–0 FK Bokelj
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Montenegro Prva Liga | FK Mornar Bar | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Bokelj |
| 11/03/26 Montenegro Prva Liga | FK Bokelj | 1-2 HT 0-1 | FK Mornar Bar |
| 09/11/25 Montenegro Prva Liga | FK Mornar Bar | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Bokelj |
| 13/09/25 Montenegro Prva Liga | FK Bokelj | 1-2 HT 0-1 | FK Mornar Bar |
| 18/05/25 Montenegro Prva Liga | FK Mornar Bar | 4-1 HT 3-0 | FK Bokelj |
| 29/03/25 Montenegro Prva Liga | FK Bokelj | 0-2 HT 0-0 | FK Mornar Bar |
Standings · Montenegro Prva Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Decic Tuzi | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 13 |
| 2 | FK Mornar Bar | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | FK Bokelj | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 4 | OFK Petrovac | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 6 | Buducnost Podgorica | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| 7 | FK Jezero | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 |
| 8 | Sutjeska Niksic | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 9 | FK Arsenal | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | OFK Mladost DG | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Mornar Bar | FK Bokelj |
|---|---|---|
| OFK Petrovac | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Buducnost Podgorica | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| FK Arsenal | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Mornar Bar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 21/08 | Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga |
2-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 07/08 | FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 20/05 | OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
FK Bokelj
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 17/08 | FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 20/05 | Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Mornar Bar vs FK Bokelj?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Mornar Bar win (53%). Probabilities: FK Mornar Bar 53%, draw 30%, FK Bokelj 17%.
How many goals are expected in FK Mornar Bar vs FK Bokelj?
The model expects 1.75 goals (FK Mornar Bar 1.21 · FK Bokelj 0.54), with a 61% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Mornar Bar vs FK Bokelj?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.