Football · Russia Premier League · 02/08, 15:00
Prediction: FC Orenburg vs Zenit St Petersburg
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.1Total
FC Orenburg1.24
Zenit St Petersburg1.86
1X2
FC Orenburg
Draw
Zenit St Petersburg
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Orenburg
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Zenit St Petersburg
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Orenburg
1–5
Zenit St Petersburg
(6 last)
- FC Orenburg2-1Zenit St Petersburg
- Zenit St Petersburg6-0FC Orenburg
- Zenit St Petersburg5-2FC Orenburg
- FC Orenburg3-5Zenit St Petersburg
- FC Orenburg0-1Zenit St Petersburg
- Zenit St Petersburg1-0FC Orenburg
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zenit St Petersburg (rating 1466 vs 1614).
- H2H favours Zenit St Petersburg: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Orenburg | Zenit St Petersburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.2 | 2.4 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5 | – / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Orenburg 1–0–5 Zenit St Petersburg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Russia Premier League | FC Orenburg | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 22/10/25 Russia Cup | Zenit St Petersburg | 6-0 HT 3-0 | FC Orenburg |
| 27/09/25 Russia Premier League | Zenit St Petersburg | 5-2 HT 2-0 | FC Orenburg |
| 26/08/25 Russia Cup | FC Orenburg | 3-5 HT 2-4 | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 23/11/24 Russia Premier League | FC Orenburg | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 05/10/24 Russia Premier League | Zenit St Petersburg | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Orenburg |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Dinamo Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Krylia Sovetov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | FC Orenburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Krasnodar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Rostov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Fakel Voronezh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Akron Tolyatti | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Orenburg | Zenit St Petersburg |
|---|---|---|
| Rostov | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| PFC Sochi | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Zenit St Petersburg (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Orenburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 07/07 | Dinamo Moscow Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/06 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | PFC Sochi Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/04 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 11/04 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
Zenit St Petersburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 18/07 | Spartak Moscow Russia Super Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 13/07 | Dynamo Makhachkala Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/07 | Crvena Zvezda Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 08/07 | Neftchi Fergana Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/07 | Dynamo Makhachkala Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | PFC Sochi Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Orenburg vs Zenit St Petersburg?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Zenit St Petersburg win (51%). Probabilities: FC Orenburg 24%, draw 25%, Zenit St Petersburg 51%.
How many goals are expected in FC Orenburg vs Zenit St Petersburg?
The model expects 3.1 goals (FC Orenburg 1.24 · Zenit St Petersburg 1.86), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Orenburg vs Zenit St Petersburg?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.