Football · Russia Premier League · 09/08, 16:00

Prediction: Zenit St Petersburg vs Rodina Moscow

Team pages: Zenit St Petersburg · Rodina Moscow

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.04Total
Zenit St Petersburg1.96
Rodina Moscow1.08
1X2
57% 24% 20%
Zenit St Petersburg Draw Rodina Moscow
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Zenit St Petersburg 8-2-0 (W-D-L)
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Rodina Moscow 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
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Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zenit St Petersburg (rating 1600 vs 1524).
  • High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Zenit St PetersburgRodina Moscow
Goals for / against (FT)2.3 / 0.51.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.40.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)70/0/30%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)– / 5– / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.14.5 / 0.5

Standings · Russia Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 2200 806
2 Spartak Moscow 2200 516
3 Krasnodar 2200 636
4 Dynamo Makhachkala 2200 426
5 CSKA Moscow 2110 324
6 FC Orenburg 2101 243
7 Rostov 2101 543
8 Baltika Kaliningrad 2101 333
9 Rubin Kazan 2101 343
10 Krylia Sovetov 2020 112
11 Lokomotiv Moscow 2011 231
11 FC Akhmat Grozny 2011 231
13 Dinamo Moscow 2011 121
14 Fakel Voronezh 2002 350
15 Rodina Moscow 2002 270
16 Akron Tolyatti 2002 170

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentZenit St PetersburgRodina Moscow
Spartak Moscow 1-1 D 0-3 L
Rostov 1-0 W 2-4 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Zenit St Petersburg (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zenit St Petersburg

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/08 Baltika Kaliningrad
Russia Cup
1-0 1-0 33 W
02/08 FC Orenburg
Russia Premier League
1-0 3-0 24 W
25/07 Akron Tolyatti
Russia Premier League
3-0 5-0 55 W
18/07 Spartak Moscow
Russia Super Cup
0-1 1-1 26 D
13/07 Dynamo Makhachkala
Club Friendly List
0-1 1-1 D
12/07 Crvena Zvezda
Club Friendly List
1-0 3-1 44 W
08/07 Neftchi Fergana
Club Friendly List
2-1 4-1 W
01/07 Dynamo Makhachkala
Club Friendly List
1-0 2-0 W
17/05 Rostov
Russia Premier League
1-0 1-0 86 W
10/05 PFC Sochi
Russia Premier League
0-1 2-1 114 W

Rodina Moscow

DLWWWWDLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/08 Rubin Kazan
Russia Cup
1-0 5-0 54 W
31/07 Rostov
Russia Premier League
1-1 2-4 23 L
25/07 Spartak Moscow
Russia Premier League
0-1 0-3 43 L
27/06 Lokomotiv Moscow
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-0 D
16/05 Arsenal Tula
Russia Division 1
3-0 4-1 W
08/05 FK Chelyabinsk
Russia Division 1
1-0 2-0 28 W
02/05 FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Russia Division 1
2-0 3-1 W
26/04 FC Ufa
Russia Division 1
0-0 1-0 1310 W
22/04 Rotor Volgograd
Russia Division 1
0-0 0-2 L
18/04 FK Volga Ulyanovsk
Russia Division 1
0-0 0-0 142 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zenit St Petersburg vs Rodina Moscow?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Zenit St Petersburg win (57%). Probabilities: Zenit St Petersburg 57%, draw 24%, Rodina Moscow 20%.

How many goals are expected in Zenit St Petersburg vs Rodina Moscow?

The model expects 3.04 goals (Zenit St Petersburg 1.96 · Rodina Moscow 1.08), with a 58% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Zenit St Petersburg vs Rodina Moscow?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.