Football · Russia Premier League · 08/08, 17:00
Prediction: Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akron Tolyatti
Team pages: Lokomotiv Moscow · Akron Tolyatti
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.73Total
Lokomotiv Moscow1.87
Akron Tolyatti0.86
1X2
Lokomotiv Moscow
Draw
Akron Tolyatti
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Lokomotiv Moscow
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Akron Tolyatti
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lokomotiv Moscow
5–1–0
Akron Tolyatti
(6 last)
- Lokomotiv Moscow5-1Akron Tolyatti
- Akron Tolyatti1-1Lokomotiv Moscow
- Akron Tolyatti1-3Lokomotiv Moscow
- Lokomotiv Moscow2-0Akron Tolyatti
- Akron Tolyatti1-4Lokomotiv Moscow
- Lokomotiv Moscow3-2Akron Tolyatti
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lokomotiv Moscow (rating 1526 vs 1429).
- H2H favours Lokomotiv Moscow: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Akron Tolyatti | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5.8 | – / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lokomotiv Moscow 5–1–0 Akron Tolyatti
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Russia Premier League | Lokomotiv Moscow | 5-1 HT 5-1 | Akron Tolyatti |
| 26/10/25 Russia Premier League | Akron Tolyatti | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 16/09/25 Russia Cup | Akron Tolyatti | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 28/08/25 Russia Cup | Lokomotiv Moscow | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Akron Tolyatti |
| 24/05/25 Russia Premier League | Akron Tolyatti | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 20/07/24 Russia Premier League | Lokomotiv Moscow | 3-2 HT 2-2 | Akron Tolyatti |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Krasnodar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | FC Orenburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Zenit St Petersburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Rostov | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Krylia Sovetov | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 11 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 13 | Dinamo Moscow | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | Fakel Voronezh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 | Akron Tolyatti | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lokomotiv Moscow | Akron Tolyatti |
|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Baltika Kaliningrad | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Krylia Sovetov | 0-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Zenit St Petersburg | 0-0 D | 0-5 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Lokomotiv Moscow (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lokomotiv Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 14/07 | CSKA Moscow Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Rodina Moscow Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 01/05 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 22/04 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 12 | D |
| 18/04 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
Akron Tolyatti
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Premier League Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Premier League Play-Offs |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-4 | 1-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 27/04 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 23/04 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 18/04 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akron Tolyatti?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lokomotiv Moscow win (60%). Probabilities: Lokomotiv Moscow 60%, draw 24%, Akron Tolyatti 16%.
How many goals are expected in Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akron Tolyatti?
The model expects 2.73 goals (Lokomotiv Moscow 1.87 · Akron Tolyatti 0.86), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akron Tolyatti?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.