Football · Russia Premier League · 10/08, 18:30
Prediction: Fakel Voronezh vs FC Akhmat Grozny
Team pages: Fakel Voronezh · FC Akhmat Grozny
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.44Total
Fakel Voronezh1.21
FC Akhmat Grozny1.22
1X2
Fakel Voronezh
Draw
FC Akhmat Grozny
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Fakel Voronezh
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
FC Akhmat Grozny
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fakel Voronezh
3–2–1
FC Akhmat Grozny
(6 last)
- Fakel Voronezh0-0FC Akhmat Grozny
- FC Akhmat Grozny2-3Fakel Voronezh
- Fakel Voronezh2-0FC Akhmat Grozny
- FC Akhmat Grozny1-2Fakel Voronezh
- Fakel Voronezh1-1FC Akhmat Grozny
- FC Akhmat Grozny2-1Fakel Voronezh
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Akhmat Grozny (rating 1467 vs 1524).
- H2H favours Fakel Voronezh: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fakel Voronezh | FC Akhmat Grozny | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.5 | 1.4 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.7 | – / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fakel Voronezh 3–2–1 FC Akhmat Grozny
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/25 Russia Premier League | Fakel Voronezh | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Akhmat Grozny |
| 18/10/24 Russia Premier League | FC Akhmat Grozny | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Fakel Voronezh |
| 25/05/24 Russia Premier League | Fakel Voronezh | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FC Akhmat Grozny |
| 04/11/23 Russia Premier League | FC Akhmat Grozny | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Fakel Voronezh |
| 16/04/23 Russia Premier League | Fakel Voronezh | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FC Akhmat Grozny |
| 24/07/22 Russia Premier League | FC Akhmat Grozny | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Fakel Voronezh |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Krasnodar | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | CSKA Moscow | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Rostov | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | FC Orenburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 11 | Krylia Sovetov | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| 12 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 13 | Dinamo Moscow | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | Akron Tolyatti | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 15 | Fakel Voronezh | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 | Rodina Moscow | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fakel Voronezh | FC Akhmat Grozny |
|---|---|---|
| Krasnodar | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Akhmat Grozny (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fakel Voronezh
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 08/05 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 27/04 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 22/04 | Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Chaika Petropavlovskaya Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/04 | Rodina Moscow Russia Division 1 |
0-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
FC Akhmat Grozny
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Krasnodar Russia Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 14/07 | Radnik Bijeljina Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/06 | Borac Banja Luka Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | PFC Sochi Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 10/05 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 23/04 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fakel Voronezh vs FC Akhmat Grozny?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fakel Voronezh win (35%). Probabilities: Fakel Voronezh 35%, draw 30%, FC Akhmat Grozny 35%.
How many goals are expected in Fakel Voronezh vs FC Akhmat Grozny?
The model expects 2.44 goals (Fakel Voronezh 1.21 · FC Akhmat Grozny 1.22), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Fakel Voronezh vs FC Akhmat Grozny?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.