Football · Russia Premier League · 09/08, 19:30
Prediction: Spartak Moscow vs Krasnodar
Team pages: Spartak Moscow · Krasnodar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.66Total
Spartak Moscow1.34
Krasnodar1.32
1X2
Spartak Moscow
Draw
Krasnodar
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Spartak Moscow
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Krasnodar
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Spartak Moscow
2–1–3
Krasnodar
(6 last)
- Spartak Moscow1-1Krasnodar
- Spartak Moscow1-2Krasnodar
- Krasnodar2-1Spartak Moscow
- Spartak Moscow3-2Krasnodar
- Krasnodar0-3Spartak Moscow
- Spartak Moscow0-3Krasnodar
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Krasnodar (rating 1548 vs 1600).
- H2H favours Krasnodar: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Spartak Moscow | Krasnodar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.7 | 2.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 6.3 | – / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Spartak Moscow 2–1–3 Krasnodar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Russia Cup | Spartak Moscow | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Krasnodar |
| 23/04/26 Russia Premier League | Spartak Moscow | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Krasnodar |
| 02/11/25 Russia Premier League | Krasnodar | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Spartak Moscow |
| 30/01/25 Club Friendly List | Spartak Moscow | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Krasnodar |
| 01/12/24 Russia Premier League | Krasnodar | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Spartak Moscow |
| 19/10/24 Russia Premier League | Spartak Moscow | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Krasnodar |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Krasnodar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | FC Orenburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Zenit St Petersburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Rostov | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Krylia Sovetov | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 11 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 13 | Dinamo Moscow | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | Fakel Voronezh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 | Akron Tolyatti | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Spartak Moscow | Krasnodar |
|---|---|---|
| Rubin Kazan | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Krasnodar (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Spartak Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Super Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 08/07 | Rubin Kazan Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | Krasnodar Russia Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 17/05 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 11/05 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 06/05 | CSKA Moscow Russia Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 01/05 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
Krasnodar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 25/06 | Psk Dinskaya Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Spartak Moscow Russia Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 17/05 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 11/05 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 07/05 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 03/05 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 23/04 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Spartak Moscow vs Krasnodar?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Spartak Moscow win (36%). Probabilities: Spartak Moscow 36%, draw 28%, Krasnodar 35%.
How many goals are expected in Spartak Moscow vs Krasnodar?
The model expects 2.66 goals (Spartak Moscow 1.34 · Krasnodar 1.32), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Spartak Moscow vs Krasnodar?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.