Football · Russia Premier League · 02/08, 17:15
Prediction: Krasnodar vs Fakel Voronezh
Team pages: Krasnodar · Fakel Voronezh
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
Krasnodar1.77
Fakel Voronezh1.04
1X2
Krasnodar
Draw
Fakel Voronezh
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Krasnodar
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Fakel Voronezh
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Krasnodar
2–4–0
Fakel Voronezh
(6 last)
- Krasnodar5-0Fakel Voronezh
- Fakel Voronezh0-0Krasnodar
- Krasnodar2-0Fakel Voronezh
- Fakel Voronezh0-0Krasnodar
- Fakel Voronezh3-3Krasnodar
- Krasnodar2-2Fakel Voronezh
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Krasnodar (rating 1569 vs 1515).
- H2H favours Krasnodar: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Krasnodar | Fakel Voronezh | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.1 | – / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Krasnodar 2–4–0 Fakel Voronezh
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/25 Russia Premier League | Krasnodar | 5-0 HT 0-0 | Fakel Voronezh |
| 04/08/24 Russia Premier League | Fakel Voronezh | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Krasnodar |
| 19/04/24 Russia Premier League | Krasnodar | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Fakel Voronezh |
| 25/08/23 Russia Premier League | Fakel Voronezh | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Krasnodar |
| 05/11/22 Russia Premier League | Fakel Voronezh | 3-3 HT 1-2 | Krasnodar |
| 17/07/22 Russia Premier League | Krasnodar | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Fakel Voronezh |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Krasnodar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | FC Orenburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Dinamo Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Krylia Sovetov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Fakel Voronezh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Rostov | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Rubin Kazan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Akron Tolyatti | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Krasnodar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 25/06 | Psk Dinskaya Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Spartak Moscow Russia Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 17/05 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 11/05 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 07/05 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 03/05 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 23/04 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 19/04 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
Fakel Voronezh
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 08/05 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 27/04 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 22/04 | Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Chaika Petropavlovskaya Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/04 | Rodina Moscow Russia Division 1 |
0-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 05/04 | Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/04 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Krasnodar vs Fakel Voronezh?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Krasnodar win (53%). Probabilities: Krasnodar 53%, draw 26%, Fakel Voronezh 21%.
How many goals are expected in Krasnodar vs Fakel Voronezh?
The model expects 2.81 goals (Krasnodar 1.77 · Fakel Voronezh 1.04), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Krasnodar vs Fakel Voronezh?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.