Football · Russia Premier League · 31/07, 19:00
Prediction: Rodina Moscow vs Rostov
Team pages: Rodina Moscow · Rostov
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.25Total
Rodina Moscow1.56
Rostov0.69
1X2
Rodina Moscow
Draw
Rostov
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Rodina Moscow
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Rostov
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rodina Moscow
0–1
Rostov
(1 last)
- Rostov3-2Rodina Moscow
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rodina Moscow (rating 1557 vs 1481).
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rodina Moscow | Rostov | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.1 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 7.3 | – / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.5 | 4.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rodina Moscow 0–0–1 Rostov
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/01/25 Club Friendly List | Rostov | 3-2 HT 0-2 | Rodina Moscow |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Krasnodar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | FC Orenburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Dinamo Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Krylia Sovetov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Fakel Voronezh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Rostov | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Rubin Kazan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Akron Tolyatti | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rodina Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Lokomotiv Moscow Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1 |
3-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/05 | FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 02/05 | FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | FC Ufa Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 10 | W |
| 22/04 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | D |
| 13/04 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Division 1 |
3-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 05/04 | Sokol Saratov Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
Rostov
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 17/05 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 11/05 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
3-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 21/04 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 17/04 | PFC Sochi Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 12/04 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 05/04 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 21/03 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rodina Moscow vs Rostov?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rodina Moscow win (57%). Probabilities: Rodina Moscow 57%, draw 28%, Rostov 15%.
How many goals are expected in Rodina Moscow vs Rostov?
The model expects 2.25 goals (Rodina Moscow 1.56 · Rostov 0.69), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Rodina Moscow vs Rostov?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.