Football · Russia Premier League · 16/08, 18:30
Prediction: Baltika Kaliningrad vs Spartak Moscow
Team pages: Baltika Kaliningrad · Spartak Moscow
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.18Total
Baltika Kaliningrad1.1
Spartak Moscow1.08
1X2
Baltika Kaliningrad
Draw
Spartak Moscow
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Baltika Kaliningrad
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Spartak Moscow
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Baltika Kaliningrad
3–3
Spartak Moscow
(6 last)
- Baltika Kaliningrad1-0Spartak Moscow
- Spartak Moscow0-3Baltika Kaliningrad
- Baltika Kaliningrad1-0Spartak Moscow
- Baltika Kaliningrad0-2Spartak Moscow
- Spartak Moscow2-1Baltika Kaliningrad
- Spartak Moscow3-2Baltika Kaliningrad
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spartak Moscow (rating 1478 vs 1530).
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Baltika Kaliningrad | Spartak Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.2 | – / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 5.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Baltika Kaliningrad 3–0–3 Spartak Moscow
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/25 Russia Premier League | Baltika Kaliningrad | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Spartak Moscow |
| 26/07/25 Russia Premier League | Spartak Moscow | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Baltika Kaliningrad |
| 14/05/24 Russia Cup | Baltika Kaliningrad | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Spartak Moscow |
| 25/11/23 Russia Premier League | Baltika Kaliningrad | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Spartak Moscow |
| 31/07/23 Russia Premier League | Spartak Moscow | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Baltika Kaliningrad |
| 29/06/22 Club Friendly List | Spartak Moscow | 3-2 HT 3-0 | Baltika Kaliningrad |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Zenit St Petersburg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | CSKA Moscow | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | FC Orenburg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | Rostov | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | Dinamo Moscow | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Rodina Moscow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 13 | Krylia Sovetov | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| 14 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | Akron Tolyatti | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Baltika Kaliningrad | Spartak Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Zenit St Petersburg | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| CSKA Moscow | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Rubin Kazan | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| FC Akhmat Grozny | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Krasnodar | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Spartak Moscow (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Baltika Kaliningrad
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 05/08 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/07 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 10/05 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 27/04 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/04 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | D |
Spartak Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/08 | FC Orenburg Russia Cup |
2-0 | 5-1 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Super Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 08/07 | Rubin Kazan Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | Krasnodar Russia Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 17/05 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 11/05 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 06/05 | CSKA Moscow Russia Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Baltika Kaliningrad vs Spartak Moscow?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Baltika Kaliningrad win (35%). Probabilities: Baltika Kaliningrad 35%, draw 32%, Spartak Moscow 33%.
How many goals are expected in Baltika Kaliningrad vs Spartak Moscow?
The model expects 2.18 goals (Baltika Kaliningrad 1.1 · Spartak Moscow 1.08), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Baltika Kaliningrad vs Spartak Moscow?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.