Football · Russia Premier League · 15/08, 17:30
Prediction: Rostov vs Rubin Kazan
Team pages: Rostov · Rubin Kazan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.19Total
Rostov1.42
Rubin Kazan0.77
1X2
Rostov
Draw
Rubin Kazan
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Rostov
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Rubin Kazan
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rostov
1–2–3
Rubin Kazan
(6 last)
- Rostov2-0Rubin Kazan
- Rubin Kazan1-0Rostov
- Rubin Kazan1-0Rostov
- Rostov1-1Rubin Kazan
- Rubin Kazan3-1Rostov
- Rubin Kazan1-1Rostov
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rostov (rating 1522 vs 1480).
- H2H favours Rubin Kazan: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rostov | Rubin Kazan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1 | 0.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.6 | – / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rostov 1–2–3 Rubin Kazan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/25 Russia Premier League | Rostov | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Rubin Kazan |
| 17/08/25 Russia Premier League | Rubin Kazan | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Rostov |
| 11/05/25 Russia Premier League | Rubin Kazan | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Rostov |
| 09/08/24 Russia Premier League | Rostov | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Rubin Kazan |
| 11/05/24 Russia Premier League | Rubin Kazan | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Rostov |
| 20/09/23 Russia Cup | Rubin Kazan | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Rostov |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Krasnodar | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | CSKA Moscow | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Rostov | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | FC Orenburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 11 | Krylia Sovetov | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| 12 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 13 | Dinamo Moscow | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | Akron Tolyatti | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 15 | Fakel Voronezh | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 | Rodina Moscow | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rostov | Rubin Kazan |
|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Akron Tolyatti | 4-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Rodina Moscow | 4-2 W | 0-5 L |
| FC Orenburg | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Rostov (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rostov
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 04/08 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Cup |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 31/07 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 4-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 17/05 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 11/05 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
3-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 21/04 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 17/04 | PFC Sochi Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
Rubin Kazan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 04/08 | Rodina Moscow Russia Cup |
0-1 | 0-5 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 08/07 | Spartak Moscow Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 26/06 | Kamaz Nab Chelny 2 Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 11/05 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rostov vs Rubin Kazan?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rostov win (51%). Probabilities: Rostov 51%, draw 30%, Rubin Kazan 19%.
How many goals are expected in Rostov vs Rubin Kazan?
The model expects 2.19 goals (Rostov 1.42 · Rubin Kazan 0.77), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Rostov vs Rubin Kazan?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.