Football · Russia Premier League · 16/08, 13:30
Prediction: Zenit St Petersburg vs Dinamo Moscow
Team pages: Zenit St Petersburg · Dinamo Moscow
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.61Total
Zenit St Petersburg1.69
Dinamo Moscow0.91
1X2
Zenit St Petersburg
Draw
Dinamo Moscow
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Zenit St Petersburg
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Dinamo Moscow
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Zenit St Petersburg
4–1–1
Dinamo Moscow
(6 last)
- Dinamo Moscow1-3Zenit St Petersburg
- Zenit St Petersburg2-1Dinamo Moscow
- Dinamo Moscow0-1Zenit St Petersburg
- Zenit St Petersburg1-3Dinamo Moscow
- Zenit St Petersburg2-1Dinamo Moscow
- Dinamo Moscow1-1Zenit St Petersburg
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zenit St Petersburg (rating 1604 vs 1542).
- H2H favours Zenit St Petersburg: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Zenit St Petersburg | Dinamo Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.6 | 1.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/0/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.7 | – / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zenit St Petersburg 4–1–1 Dinamo Moscow
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Russia Premier League | Dinamo Moscow | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 03/02/26 Club Friendly List | Zenit St Petersburg | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Dinamo Moscow |
| 27/11/25 Russia Cup | Dinamo Moscow | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 05/11/25 Russia Cup | Zenit St Petersburg | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Dinamo Moscow |
| 26/10/25 Russia Premier League | Zenit St Petersburg | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Dinamo Moscow |
| 26/04/25 Russia Premier League | Dinamo Moscow | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Zenit St Petersburg |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Zenit St Petersburg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | CSKA Moscow | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | FC Orenburg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | Rostov | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | Dinamo Moscow | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Rodina Moscow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 13 | Krylia Sovetov | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| 14 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | Akron Tolyatti | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Zenit St Petersburg | Dinamo Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Baltika Kaliningrad | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| FC Orenburg | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Zenit St Petersburg (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zenit St Petersburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 05/08 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 18/07 | Spartak Moscow Russia Super Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 13/07 | Dynamo Makhachkala Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/07 | Crvena Zvezda Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 08/07 | Neftchi Fergana Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/07 | Dynamo Makhachkala Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
Dinamo Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 05/08 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 18/07 | CSKA Moscow Club Friendly List |
4-1 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 07/07 | FC Orenburg Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 11/05 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 07/05 | Krasnodar Russia Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 01/05 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zenit St Petersburg vs Dinamo Moscow?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Zenit St Petersburg win (55%). Probabilities: Zenit St Petersburg 55%, draw 26%, Dinamo Moscow 19%.
How many goals are expected in Zenit St Petersburg vs Dinamo Moscow?
The model expects 2.61 goals (Zenit St Petersburg 1.69 · Dinamo Moscow 0.91), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Zenit St Petersburg vs Dinamo Moscow?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.