Football · Russia Premier League · 15/08, 19:45
Prediction: Krasnodar vs FC Akhmat Grozny
Team pages: Krasnodar · FC Akhmat Grozny
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.51Total
Krasnodar1.7
FC Akhmat Grozny0.81
1X2
Krasnodar
Draw
FC Akhmat Grozny
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Krasnodar
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
FC Akhmat Grozny
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Krasnodar
3–1–2
FC Akhmat Grozny
(6 last)
- Krasnodar1-1FC Akhmat Grozny
- FC Akhmat Grozny0-1Krasnodar
- Krasnodar2-0FC Akhmat Grozny
- Krasnodar3-1FC Akhmat Grozny
- Krasnodar1-2FC Akhmat Grozny
- FC Akhmat Grozny3-0Krasnodar
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Krasnodar (rating 1586 vs 1507).
- H2H favours Krasnodar: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Krasnodar | FC Akhmat Grozny | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.9 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.3 | – / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Krasnodar 3–1–2 FC Akhmat Grozny
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/26 Russia Cup | Krasnodar | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FC Akhmat Grozny |
| 04/04/26 Russia Premier League | FC Akhmat Grozny | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Krasnodar |
| 04/10/25 Russia Premier League | Krasnodar | 2-0 HT 2-0 | FC Akhmat Grozny |
| 19/04/25 Russia Premier League | Krasnodar | 3-1 HT 1-0 | FC Akhmat Grozny |
| 11/03/25 Russia Cup | Krasnodar | 1-2 HT 0-0 | FC Akhmat Grozny |
| 02/10/24 Russia Cup | FC Akhmat Grozny | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Krasnodar |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Zenit St Petersburg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | CSKA Moscow | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | FC Orenburg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | Rostov | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | Dinamo Moscow | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Rodina Moscow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 13 | Krylia Sovetov | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| 14 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | Akron Tolyatti | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Krasnodar | FC Akhmat Grozny |
|---|---|---|
| Spartak Moscow | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Fakel Voronezh | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Krasnodar (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Krasnodar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 05/08 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 25/06 | Psk Dinskaya Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Spartak Moscow Russia Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 17/05 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 11/05 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 07/05 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 03/05 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
FC Akhmat Grozny
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 05/08 | Krasnodar Russia Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 14/07 | Radnik Bijeljina Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/06 | Borac Banja Luka Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | PFC Sochi Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 10/05 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Krasnodar vs FC Akhmat Grozny?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Krasnodar win (58%). Probabilities: Krasnodar 58%, draw 26%, FC Akhmat Grozny 16%.
How many goals are expected in Krasnodar vs FC Akhmat Grozny?
The model expects 2.51 goals (Krasnodar 1.7 · FC Akhmat Grozny 0.81), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Krasnodar vs FC Akhmat Grozny?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.