Football · Russia Premier League · 30/08, 16:30
Prediction: Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg
Team pages: Spartak Moscow · FC Orenburg
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
Spartak Moscow1.83
FC Orenburg0.8
1X2
Spartak Moscow
Draw
FC Orenburg
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Spartak Moscow
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
FC Orenburg
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Spartak Moscow
4–1–1
FC Orenburg
(6 last)
- Spartak Moscow5-1FC Orenburg
- FC Orenburg0-2Spartak Moscow
- Spartak Moscow1-0FC Orenburg
- Spartak Moscow2-0FC Orenburg
- FC Orenburg2-0Spartak Moscow
- FC Orenburg0-0Spartak Moscow
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spartak Moscow (rating 1575 vs 1476).
- H2H favours Spartak Moscow: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Spartak Moscow | FC Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1 | 0.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 7.2 | – / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Spartak Moscow 4–1–1 FC Orenburg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/26 Russia Cup | Spartak Moscow | 5-1 HT 2-0 | FC Orenburg |
| 22/03/26 Russia Premier League | FC Orenburg | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Spartak Moscow |
| 25/10/25 Russia Premier League | Spartak Moscow | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Orenburg |
| 02/03/25 Russia Premier League | Spartak Moscow | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FC Orenburg |
| 21/07/24 Russia Premier League | FC Orenburg | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Spartak Moscow |
| 25/05/24 Russia Premier League | FC Orenburg | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Spartak Moscow |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Zenit St Petersburg | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| 6 | Dinamo Moscow | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 7 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | FC Orenburg | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 10 | Rubin Kazan | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 11 | Rostov | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 |
| 12 | Krylia Sovetov | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 13 | Rodina Moscow | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 4 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 15 | Fakel Voronezh | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| 16 | Akron Tolyatti | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Spartak Moscow | FC Orenburg |
|---|---|---|
| Zenit St Petersburg | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Krasnodar | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Rubin Kazan | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Krylia Sovetov | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| FC Nizhny Novgorod | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Spartak Moscow (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Spartak Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 16/08 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 09/08 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 11/05 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 01/05 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 23/04 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
FC Orenburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 14/08 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 17/05 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | PFC Sochi Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/04 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Spartak Moscow win (61%). Probabilities: Spartak Moscow 61%, draw 24%, FC Orenburg 15%.
How many goals are expected in Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg?
The model expects 2.63 goals (Spartak Moscow 1.83 · FC Orenburg 0.8), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.