Football · Russia Premier League · 05/09, 13:00
Prediction: Krylia Sovetov vs Krasnodar
Team pages: Krylia Sovetov · Krasnodar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
Krylia Sovetov1.14
Krasnodar1.76
1X2
Krylia Sovetov
Draw
Krasnodar
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Krylia Sovetov
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Krasnodar
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Krylia Sovetov
1–1–4
Krasnodar
(6 last)
- Krasnodar5-0Krylia Sovetov
- Krylia Sovetov1-2Krasnodar
- Krylia Sovetov0-6Krasnodar
- Krasnodar1-2Krylia Sovetov
- Krasnodar1-1Krylia Sovetov
- Krylia Sovetov1-2Krasnodar
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Krasnodar (rating 1497 vs 1646).
- H2H favours Krasnodar: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Krylia Sovetov | Krasnodar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.3 | 1.8 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 3.3 | – / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Krylia Sovetov 1–1–4 Krasnodar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/25 Russia Premier League | Krasnodar | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Krylia Sovetov |
| 17/09/25 Russia Cup | Krylia Sovetov | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Krasnodar |
| 24/08/25 Russia Premier League | Krylia Sovetov | 0-6 HT 0-3 | Krasnodar |
| 29/07/25 Russia Cup | Krasnodar | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Krylia Sovetov |
| 01/03/25 Russia Premier League | Krasnodar | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Krylia Sovetov |
| 28/10/24 Russia Premier League | Krylia Sovetov | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Krasnodar |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 18 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | Zenit St Petersburg | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Dinamo Moscow | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| 7 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 8 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 10 | Krylia Sovetov | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 11 | FC Orenburg | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Rostov | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| 13 | Rodina Moscow | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 4 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 15 | Akron Tolyatti | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 3 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Krylia Sovetov | Krasnodar |
|---|---|---|
| FC Akhmat Grozny | 3-3 D | 1-0 W |
| Akron Tolyatti | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 1-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Dinamo Moscow | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| FC Orenburg | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Spartak Moscow | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 5 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Krasnodar (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Krylia Sovetov
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 16/08 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 17/05 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
4-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 01/05 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
Krasnodar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 11/05 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Krylia Sovetov vs Krasnodar?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Krasnodar win (51%). Probabilities: Krylia Sovetov 23%, draw 26%, Krasnodar 51%.
How many goals are expected in Krylia Sovetov vs Krasnodar?
The model expects 2.9 goals (Krylia Sovetov 1.14 · Krasnodar 1.76), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Krylia Sovetov vs Krasnodar?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.