Football · Russia Premier League · 06/09, 19:45
Prediction: Baltika Kaliningrad vs Lokomotiv Moscow
Team pages: Baltika Kaliningrad · Lokomotiv Moscow
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.08Total
Baltika Kaliningrad1.26
Lokomotiv Moscow0.82
1X2
Baltika Kaliningrad
Draw
Lokomotiv Moscow
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Baltika Kaliningrad
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Lokomotiv Moscow
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Baltika Kaliningrad
0–1–5
Lokomotiv Moscow
(6 last)
- Lokomotiv Moscow1-0Baltika Kaliningrad
- Baltika Kaliningrad1-2Lokomotiv Moscow
- Baltika Kaliningrad1-1Lokomotiv Moscow
- Lokomotiv Moscow2-0Baltika Kaliningrad
- Lokomotiv Moscow4-1Baltika Kaliningrad
- Baltika Kaliningrad1-3Lokomotiv Moscow
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Lokomotiv Moscow: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Baltika Kaliningrad | Lokomotiv Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.1 | – / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Baltika Kaliningrad 0–1–5 Lokomotiv Moscow
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Russia Premier League | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Baltika Kaliningrad |
| 23/10/25 Russia Cup | Baltika Kaliningrad | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 16/08/25 Russia Premier League | Baltika Kaliningrad | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 13/08/25 Russia Cup | Lokomotiv Moscow | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Baltika Kaliningrad |
| 06/07/24 Club Friendly List | Lokomotiv Moscow | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Baltika Kaliningrad |
| 25/05/24 Russia Premier League | Baltika Kaliningrad | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Lokomotiv Moscow |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 18 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Zenit St Petersburg | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 10 |
| 6 | Dinamo Moscow | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| 8 | FC Orenburg | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
| 9 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| 10 | Krylia Sovetov | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 11 | Rubin Kazan | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 12 | Rostov | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| 13 | Rodina Moscow | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 4 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 15 | Akron Tolyatti | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 3 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Baltika Kaliningrad | Lokomotiv Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Krylia Sovetov | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Dinamo Moscow | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| CSKA Moscow | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Akron Tolyatti | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Baltika Kaliningrad (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Baltika Kaliningrad
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 24/08 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 16/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/07 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 10/05 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 27/04 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
Lokomotiv Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 14/08 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 01/05 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Baltika Kaliningrad vs Lokomotiv Moscow?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Baltika Kaliningrad win (45%). Probabilities: Baltika Kaliningrad 45%, draw 32%, Lokomotiv Moscow 23%.
How many goals are expected in Baltika Kaliningrad vs Lokomotiv Moscow?
The model expects 2.08 goals (Baltika Kaliningrad 1.26 · Lokomotiv Moscow 0.82), with a 59% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Baltika Kaliningrad vs Lokomotiv Moscow?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.